Celaya vs Inter Playa del Carmen — Primera Premier
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Celaya and Inter Playa del Carmen meet in the Primera Premier 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Celaya have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Inter Playa del Carmen have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 0.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for Celaya and 0.98 for Inter Playa del Carmen. The models give Celaya a 55% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Inter Playa del Carmen win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Celaya | Home | Away | Inter Playa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 75% | 100% | 38% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 75% | 50% | 25% | 20% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 25% | 0% | 63% | 60% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Celaya | Home | Away | Inter Playa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 88% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 40% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Celaya | Inter Playa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS | 63% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Celaya | Inter Playa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 57% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 25% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 21 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 3 | |
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Celaya failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Celaya have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Inter Playa del Carmen have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Inter Playa del Carmen have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Inter Playa del Carmen failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Inter Playa del Carmen have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Inter Playa del Carmen failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●67% of Inter Playa del Carmen's goals conceded were conceded at home.