MatchPulse

Celaya vs Zacatepec 1948 — Primera Premier

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Celaya
Celaya
6º · 1.86 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 27d 23h
vs
–
–
Zacatepec 1948
Zacatepec 1948
8º · 1.38 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 4h
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Celaya and Zacatepec 1948 meet in the Primera Premier 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Celaya have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Zacatepec 1948 have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 38%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for Celaya and 0.94 for Zacatepec 1948. The models give Celaya a 46% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Zacatepec 1948 win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 46%.

Season Statistics

Celaya
—
Zacatepec 1948
6º
Position
8º
1.86
PPG
1.38
57%
Win %
38%
1.71
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.25
63%
BTTS %
50%
25%
Clean sheet %
38%
63%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Celaya
Home (3)
—
Zacatepec 1948
Away (5)
2.00
PPG
1.00
67%
Win %
20%
1.33
Goals / game
0.60
0.67
Conceded / game
1.20
50%
BTTS %
40%
25%
Clean sheet %
40%
50%
Over 2.5 %
20%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

CelayaHomeAwayZacatepec 1948HomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored88%75%100%75%100%60%
Over 1.5 Scored63%75%50%25%67%0%
Over 2.5 Scored13%0%25%0%0%0%
Failed To Score13%25%0%25%0%40%

Goals Conceded

CelayaHomeAwayZacatepec 1948HomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded75%75%75%63%67%60%
Over 1.5 Conceded25%0%50%38%33%40%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%13%0%20%
Clean Sheets25%25%25%38%33%40%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

CelayaZacatepec 1948
Over 0.5100%88%
Over 1.588%63%
Over 2.563%38%
Over 3.513%25%
Over 4.50%0%
BTTS63%50%
BTTS & Win25%13%
BTTS & Draw25%25%
BTTS & Over 2.550%38%
BTTS No & Over 2.513%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

CelayaZacatepec 1948
Win 1st Half14%25%
Draw 1st Half57%63%
Loss 1st Half29%13%
Scored 1st Half43%50%
Conceded 1st Half43%38%
Win 2nd Half29%25%
Draw 2nd Half57%50%
Loss 2nd Half14%25%
Scored 2nd Half43%50%
Conceded 2nd Half29%38%
Over 0.5 HT57%63%
Over 1.5 HT43%38%

Recent Venue Form

Celaya (H)
WCordobés2–1
LJaguares de Chiapas0–1
WMontañeses2–1
WTapachula2–0
WCimarrones2–1
WLeones Negros5–0
Zacatepec 1948 (A)
DPioneros de Cancún0–0
LIrapuato0–2
WCordobés1–0
DTritons Vallarta1–1
LTigres de Alica1–3
DDurango1–1

Head to Head · 8 matches

2
Celaya
25%
1
Draws
13%
5
Zacatepec 1948
63%
50%
Over 1.5
4/8
38%
Over 2.5
3/8
25%
Over 3.5
2/8
38%
BTTS
3/8
02/02/20
Zacatepec 1948
3–1
Celaya
02/08/19
Celaya
0–1
Zacatepec 1948
09/02/19
Zacatepec 1948
1–0
Celaya
26/08/18
Celaya
1–1
Zacatepec 1948
11/02/18
Celaya
0–1
Zacatepec 1948
09/09/17
Zacatepec 1948
0–1
Celaya
29/01/17
Celaya
2–3
Zacatepec 1948
13/08/16
Zacatepec 1948
0–3
Celaya
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Irapuato7700+1221
2Racing de Veracruz8530+1218
3Pioneros de Cancún8521+1117
4Reboceros La Piedad7502+215
5Tigres de Alica8422+614
6Celaya7412+513
7Jaguares de Chiapas7322011
8Zacatepec 19488323-211
9Chapulineros8323-411
10Montañeses8314-210
11Los Cabos United8314-210
12Deportiva Venados7223-18
13Lobos ULMX7214-47
14Cordobés7214-47
15H2O Purepechas6114-44
16Inter Playa del Carmen7115-74
17Tapachula7106-133
18Tritons Vallarta7025-52

Team Insights

Celaya
  • ●Celaya failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Celaya have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Zacatepec 1948
  • ●Zacatepec 1948 have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Zacatepec 1948 have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●63% of Zacatepec 1948's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●67% of Zacatepec 1948's goals conceded were conceded away.
WHCordobés14º2–1
WHMontañeses10º2–1
DAChapulineros9º1–1
WHTapachula17º2–0
LACimarrones3º1–2
LACimarrones3º1–2
LAIrapuato1º0–2
WACordobés14º1–0
WHH2O Purepechas15º1–0
DATritons Vallarta18º1–1
WHLobos ULMX13º2–1
LATigres de Alica5º1–3
DADurango1º1–1
DADurango1º1–1

Season Schedule

Celaya
WHCordobés2–1
LARacing de Veracruz1–2
LHJaguares de Chiapas0–1
DADeportiva Venados2–2
WHMontañeses2–1
DAChapulineros1–1
–ALos Cabos United01/11
–HTigres de Alica08/11
–AIrapuato17/11
Zacatepec 1948
DAPioneros de Cancún0–0
LAIrapuato0–2
DHReboceros La Piedad2–2
WACordobés1–0
WHH2O Purepechas1–0
DATritons Vallarta1–1
–HRacing de Veracruz31/10
–ATapachula06/11
–HMontañeses14/11

Top Scorers

Celaya
12 ⚽
A. Salazar1 ⚽
B. Recalde1 ⚽
J. Varela1 ⚽
Zacatepec 1948
6 ⚽

Cards Given

Celaya
1 🟨
Zacatepec 1948
2 🟨