Irapuato vs Celaya — Primera Premier
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Irapuato and Celaya meet in the Primera Premier 2026 season on 17 November 2026. Irapuato have recorded 8 wins from 8 matches this season (100% win rate), averaging 2.75 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Celaya have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Irapuato and 1.18 for Celaya. The models give Irapuato a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Celaya win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Irapuato | Home | Away | Celaya | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 88% | 80% | 100% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 20% | 100% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Irapuato | Home | Away | Celaya | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Irapuato | Celaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 50% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Irapuato | Celaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 75% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 75% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 13% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 63% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 57% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 88% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 21 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 3 | |
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Irapuato have won their last 8 matches.
- ●Irapuato have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Irapuato have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Irapuato have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Irapuato have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Irapuato have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Irapuato have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Irapuato have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Celaya failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Celaya have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.

