Celaya vs Tigres de Alica — Primera Premier
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Celaya and Tigres de Alica meet in the Primera Premier 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Celaya have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Tigres de Alica have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Celaya and 1.08 for Tigres de Alica. The models give Celaya a 47% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Tigres de Alica win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
CelayaTigres de AlicaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Celaya | Home | Away | Tigres de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 75% | 100% | 89% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 75% | 50% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 25% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Celaya | Home | Away | Tigres de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 78% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 22% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Celaya | Tigres de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS | 63% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Celaya | Tigres de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 57% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 78% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Celaya (H)
Cordobés2–1
Jaguares de Chiapas0–1
Montañeses2–1
Tapachula2–0
Cimarrones2–1
Leones Negros5–0Tigres de (A)
Deportiva Venados2–5Cordobés0–1
Irapuato1–2
Los Cabos United2–1
Deportivo Zap0–2Los Cabos United2–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irapuato | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 |  Racing de Veracruz | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 18 |
| 3 |  Pioneros de Cancún | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 |
| 4 |  Reboceros La Piedad | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 5 | Tigres de Alica | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 | Celaya | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 | Jaguares de Chiapas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Zacatepec 1948 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Chapulineros | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Montañeses | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Los Cabos United | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportiva Venados | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 |  Lobos ULMX | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Cordobés | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 |  H2O Purepechas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Inter Playa del Carmen | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Tapachula | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 |  Tritons Vallarta | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 2 |
Team Insights
Celaya- ●Celaya failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Celaya have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Tigres de- ●Tigres de Alica have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Tigres de Alica have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Tigres de Alica have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tigres de Alica have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Tigres de Alica's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Tigres de Alica's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●79% of Tigres de Alica's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
CelayaCordobés2–1Racing de Veracruz1–2Jaguares de Chiapas0–1Deportiva Venados2–2Montañeses2–1Chapulineros1–1Los Cabos United01/11Tigres de Alica08/11Irapuato17/11Tigres deDeportiva Venados2–5Reboceros La Piedad4–0Cordobés0–1H2O Purepechas1–0Tritons Vallarta1–1Lobos ULMX1–1Tapachula31/10Celaya08/11Jaguares de Chiapas14/11Top Scorers
CelayaTigres deCards Given
CelayaTigres de