NEC vs Police — Premier League
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NEC and Police meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 2 December 2026. NEC have recorded 7 wins from 10 matches this season (70% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 60% of games. Police have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for NEC and 0.86 for Police. The models give NEC a 55% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Police win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
NEC
PoliceHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| NEC | Home | Away | Police | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 80% | 80% | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 60% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 60% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 20% | 60% |
Goals Conceded
| NEC | Home | Away | Police | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 40% | 60% | 20% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 40% | 80% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| NEC | Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 10% |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| NEC | Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 60% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 20% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
NEC (H)
UPDF1–0
Ntugasaze5–1
Express0–0
URA4–1
Lugazi3–1
SC Villa1–4Police (A)
Kataka2–1
Vipers0–0
Entebbe UPPC0–3Lugazi2–0
Blacks Power0–1
Kitara2–2Head to Head · 4 matches
NECPoliceNECPolice| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 |  BUL | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 | SC Villa | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 21 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  KCCA | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Police | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Blacks Power | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Kitara | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 12 |
| 9 | Vipers | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 11 |
| 10 |  Maroons | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 11 | URA | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Express | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Mbarara City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | UPDF | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Lugazi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Ntugasaze | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 | Kataka | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 |  Kigezi HomeBoyz | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 1 |
Team Insights
NEC- ●NEC have won their last 3 matches.
- ●NEC have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●NEC have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●NEC have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●NEC have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●NEC have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●68% of NEC's goals have been scored at home.
Police- ●Police have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
Season Schedule
NECUPDF1–0Blacks Power1–0Ntugasaze5–1BUL1–2Kigezi HomeBoyz2–0Express0–0Maroons19/11Kataka25/11Police02/12PoliceKitara1–1Kataka2–1Kigezi HomeBoyz3–1Vipers0–0SC Villa1–6Entebbe UPPC0–3KCCA20/11Ntugasaze25/11NEC02/12Top Scorers
NECPoliceCards Given
NECPolice