Ntugasaze vs Police — Premier League
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Ntugasaze and Police meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 25 November 2026. Ntugasaze have recorded 1 wins from 6 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 0.50 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Police have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 0.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 14%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 57%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.00 for Ntugasaze and 1.07 for Police. The models give Ntugasaze a 34% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Police win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 34% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
Ntugasaze
PoliceHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ntugasaze | Home | Away | Police | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 33% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 33% | 67% | 57% | 33% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| Ntugasaze | Home | Away | Police | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 67% | 100% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 67% | 67% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 67% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 33% | 0% | 57% | 67% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ntugasaze | Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 14% |
| BTTS | 33% | 14% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 14% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ntugasaze | Police | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 17% | 71% |
| Loss 1st Half | 67% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 0% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 67% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 17% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 83% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 29% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Ntugasaze (H)
KCCA0–2
Mbarara City1–0
Maroons1–3Police (A)
Vipers0–0
Entebbe UPPC0–3
Lugazi2–0
Blacks Power0–1
Kitara2–2
Calvary0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BUL | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 |  SC Villa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 |  NEC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Vipers | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 11 |
| 7 | Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 | KCCA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  UPDF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Lugazi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Police | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Express | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  URA | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 |  Kataka | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 |  Kigezi HomeBoyz | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Team Insights
Ntugasaze- ●Ntugasaze have lost their last 3 away matches.
Police- ●Police have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
Season Schedule
NtugasazeKCCA0–2Mbarara City1–0Vipers0–3BUL1–4Maroons1–3Blacks Power0–1NEC27/10Express01/11Entebbe UPPC05/11PoliceVipers0–0SC Villa1–6Entebbe UPPC0–3Lugazi2–0UPDF0–0Blacks Power0–1Kigezi HomeBoyz27/10Kataka30/10Kitara03/11Top Scorers
NtugasazePoliceCards Given
NtugasazePolice