Uganda · Premier League · Regular Season - 11

SC Villa

2º · 2.43 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 29d 0h

–

UPDF

10º · 1.33 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 32d 23h

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SC Villa and UPDF meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 20 November 2026. SC Villa have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. UPDF have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 50%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for SC Villa and 0.81 for UPDF. The models give SC Villa a 58% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an UPDF win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 42%.

Season Statistics

SC Villa

—

UPDF

2º

Position

10º

2.43

PPG

1.33

71%

Win %

33%

2.29

Goals / game

0.67

0.43

Conceded / game

0.83

36%

BTTS %

33%

29%

Clean sheet %

50%

29%

Over 2.5 %

33%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

SC Villa

Home (4)

—

UPDF

Away (3)

2.50

PPG

1.33

75%

Win %

33%

2.00

Goals / game

1.00

0.25

Conceded / game

1.00

43%

BTTS %

67%

43%

Clean sheet %

33%

29%

Over 2.5 %

67%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	SC Villa	Home	Away	UPDF	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	64%	86%	43%	50%	33%	67%
Over 1.5 Scored	36%	57%	14%	17%	0%	33%
Over 2.5 Scored	14%	14%	14%	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	36%	14%	57%	50%	67%	33%

Goals Conceded

	SC Villa	Home	Away	UPDF	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	71%	57%	86%	50%	33%	67%
Over 1.5 Conceded	7%	0%	14%	33%	33%	33%
Over 2.5 Conceded	7%	0%	14%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	29%	43%	14%	50%	67%	33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	SC Villa	UPDF
Over 0.5	100%	67%
Over 1.5	64%	50%
Over 2.5	29%	33%
Over 3.5	7%	0%
Over 4.5	7%	0%
BTTS	36%	33%
BTTS & Win	14%	17%
BTTS & Draw	21%	0%
BTTS & Over 2.5	14%	33%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	14%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	SC Villa	UPDF
Win 1st Half	46%	33%
Draw 1st Half	31%	67%
Loss 1st Half	23%	0%
Scored 1st Half	54%	50%
Conceded 1st Half	31%	17%
Win 2nd Half	46%	0%
Draw 2nd Half	23%	50%
Loss 2nd Half	31%	50%
Scored 2nd Half	54%	0%
Conceded 2nd Half	46%	50%
Over 0.5 HT	77%	50%
Over 1.5 HT	23%	33%

Recent Venue Form

SC Villa (H)

Mbarara City2–0

LMPS1–1

Members0–1

Kigezi HomeBoyz3–0

Express2–0

LCS2–1

UPDF (A)

Express2–1

Police0–0

Entebbe UPPC1–2

SC Villa1–2

Entebbe UPPC0–2

Police0–2

Head to Head · 14 matches

SC Villa

57%

Draws

14%

UPDF

29%

64%

Over 1.5

9/14

29%

Over 2.5

4/14

Over 3.5

1/14

14%

BTTS

2/14

23/05/26

SC Villa

2–1

UPDF

25/11/25

UPDF

0–1

SC Villa

02/03/25

UPDF

2–0

SC Villa

01/11/24

SC Villa

5–0

UPDF

11/05/24

UPDF

0–2

SC Villa

02/01/24

SC Villa

3–0

UPDF

16/05/23

UPDF

0–2

SC Villa

11/12/22

SC Villa

2–0

UPDF

06/02/22

UPDF

0–0

SC Villa

08/01/22

SC Villa

0–0

UPDF

18/06/21

UPDF

2–1

SC Villa

27/02/21

SC Villa

0–1

UPDF

05/05/18

UPDF

1–0

SC Villa

14/10/17

SC Villa

2–0

UPDF

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	BUL	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	SC Villa	7	5	2	0	+13	17
3	NEC	7	4	2	1	+8	14
4	Entebbe UPPC	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Blacks Power	7	4	0	3	-2	12
6	Vipers	6	3	2	1	+11	11
7	Maroons	7	3	1	3	+5	10
8	KCCA	6	3	1	2	0	10
9	Kitara	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	UPDF	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Lugazi	7	2	2	3	-5	8
12	Police	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Express	7	1	3	3	-2	6
14	Mbarara City	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	URA	6	1	1	4	-5	4
16	Ntugasaze	6	1	0	5	-10	3
17	Kataka	7	0	2	5	-13	2
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	6	0	1	5	-8	1