URA vs Ntugasaze — Premier League
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URA and Ntugasaze meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 20 November 2026. URA have recorded 1 wins from 6 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 0.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Ntugasaze have won 17% of their 6 matches, with 0.50 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for URA and 0.78 for Ntugasaze. The models give URA a 48% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Ntugasaze win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 34% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
URA
NtugasazeHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| URA | Home | Away | Ntugasaze | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 0% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| URA | Home | Away | Ntugasaze | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 67% | 100% | 83% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 0% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 0% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| URA | Ntugasaze | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| URA | Ntugasaze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 17% |
| Loss 1st Half | 67% | 67% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 67% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 17% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 83% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
URA (H)
Entebbe UPPC0–0
KCCA0–1
SC Villa0–1KCCA0–0
Calvary1–1
Maroons2–2Ntugasaze (A)
Vipers0–3
BUL1–4
Blacks Power0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | SC Villa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 |  NEC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | Blacks Power | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Vipers | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 11 |
| 7 | Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 | KCCA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  UPDF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Lugazi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Police | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Express | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Mbarara City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | URA | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 |  Kataka | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 |  Kigezi HomeBoyz | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Team Insights
URA- ●URA have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●URA have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●80% of URA's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●URA have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Ntugasaze- ●Ntugasaze have lost their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
URABlacks Power2–3Entebbe UPPC0–0KCCA0–1NEC1–4SC Villa0–1Maroons2–1UPDF27/10Vipers31/10Kataka04/11NtugasazeKCCA0–2Mbarara City1–0Vipers0–3BUL1–4Maroons1–3Blacks Power0–1NEC27/10Express01/11Entebbe UPPC05/11Top Scorers
URANtugasazeCards Given
URANtugasaze