Uganda · Premier League · Regular Season - 11

Mbarara City

14º · 0.83 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 27d 0h

–

Lugazi

11º · 1.14 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 28d 0h

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Mbarara City and Lugazi meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 18 November 2026. Mbarara City have recorded 1 wins from 6 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 0.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 17% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 17%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Lugazi have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 0.57 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 43%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for Mbarara City and 0.79 for Lugazi. The models give Mbarara City a 47% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Lugazi win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 32% and BTTS at 38%.

Season Statistics

Mbarara City

—

Lugazi

14º

Position

11º

0.83

PPG

1.14

17%

Win %

29%

0.33

Goals / game

0.57

0.83

Conceded / game

1.29

17%

BTTS %

29%

33%

Clean sheet %

43%

17%

Over 2.5 %

43%

Home vs Away

Mbarara City

Home (3)

—

Lugazi

Away (3)

1.67

PPG

1.00

33%

Win %

33%

0.67

Goals / game

0.67

0.33

Conceded / game

2.00

33%

BTTS %

33%

67%

Clean sheet %

33%

Over 2.5 %

67%

Goals Scored

	Mbarara City	Home	Away	Lugazi	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	17%	33%	0%	43%	25%	67%
Over 1.5 Scored	17%	33%	0%	14%	25%	0%
Over 2.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	83%	67%	100%	57%	75%	33%

Goals Conceded

	Mbarara City	Home	Away	Lugazi	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	67%	33%	100%	57%	50%	67%
Over 1.5 Conceded	17%	0%	33%	43%	25%	67%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	29%	0%	67%
Clean Sheets	33%	67%	0%	43%	50%	33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Mbarara City	Lugazi
Over 0.5	67%	71%
Over 1.5	33%	57%
Over 2.5	17%	43%
Over 3.5	0%	14%
Over 4.5	0%	0%
BTTS	17%	29%
BTTS & Win	17%	14%
BTTS & Draw	0%	0%
BTTS & Over 2.5	17%	29%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	14%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Mbarara City	Lugazi
Win 1st Half	17%	0%
Draw 1st Half	50%	100%
Loss 1st Half	33%	0%
Scored 1st Half	17%	0%
Conceded 1st Half	33%	0%
Win 2nd Half	0%	29%
Draw 2nd Half	50%	29%
Loss 2nd Half	50%	43%
Scored 2nd Half	0%	43%
Conceded 2nd Half	50%	57%
Over 0.5 HT	50%	0%
Over 1.5 HT	17%	0%

Recent Venue Form

Mbarara City (H)

Blacks Power2–1

Entebbe UPPC0–0

NEC0–0

Buhimba Saints2–0

SC Villa1–3

Express2–1

Lugazi (A)

Maroons0–3

Entebbe UPPC1–0

NEC1–3

Express0–0

BUL0–0

Buhimba Saints2–0

Head to Head · 4 matches

Mbarara City

50%

Draws

50%

Lugazi

25%

Over 1.5

1/4

Over 2.5

0/4

Over 3.5

0/4

25%

BTTS

1/4

06/05/26

Lugazi

0–1

Mbarara City

24/01/26

Mbarara City

0–0

Lugazi

10/05/25

Mbarara City

1–0

Lugazi

12/12/24

Lugazi

1–1

Mbarara City

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	BUL	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	SC Villa	7	5	2	0	+13	17
3	NEC	7	4	2	1	+8	14
4	Entebbe UPPC	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Blacks Power	7	4	0	3	-2	12
6	Vipers	6	3	2	1	+11	11
7	Maroons	7	3	1	3	+5	10
8	KCCA	6	3	1	2	0	10
9	Kitara	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	UPDF	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Lugazi	7	2	2	3	-5	8
12	Police	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Express	7	1	3	3	-2	6
14	Mbarara City	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	URA	6	1	1	4	-5	4
16	Ntugasaze	6	1	0	5	-10	3
17	Kataka	7	0	2	5	-13	2
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	6	0	1	5	-8	1