NEC vs UPDF — Premier League
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NEC and UPDF meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 3 November 2026. NEC have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 57% of games. UPDF have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for NEC and 0.94 for UPDF. The models give NEC a 54% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an UPDF win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
NEC
UPDFHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| NEC | Home | Away | UPDF | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 67% | 75% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 67% | 50% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| NEC | Home | Away | UPDF | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 43% | 67% | 25% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 57% | 33% | 75% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| NEC | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 71% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS | 43% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| NEC | UPDF | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 17% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 0% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
NEC (H)
Express0–0
URA4–1
Lugazi3–1
SC Villa1–4
Mbarara City0–0
Maroons1–0UPDF (A)Express2–1
Police0–0
Entebbe UPPC1–2SC Villa1–2Entebbe UPPC0–2Police0–2Head to Head · 6 matches
UPDFNECNECUPDFNECUPDF| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BUL | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | SC Villa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 | NEC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 | Entebbe UPPC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Blacks Power | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Vipers | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 11 |
| 7 | Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  KCCA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | UPDF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Lugazi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Police | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 | Express | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | URA | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 |  Kataka | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 |  Kigezi HomeBoyz | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Team Insights
NEC- ●NEC have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
UPDF—
Season Schedule
NECBUL1–2Kigezi HomeBoyz2–0Express0–0URA4–1Mbarara City0–0Lugazi3–1Ntugasaze27/10Blacks Power31/10UPDF03/11UPDFBUL0–2Express2–1Maroons1–0Police0–0Entebbe UPPC1–2Kataka0–0URA27/10Kitara31/10NEC03/11Top Scorers
NECUPDFCards Given
NECUPDF