UPDF vs Kitara — Premier League
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UPDF and Kitara meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. UPDF have recorded 2 wins from 6 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Kitara have won 57% of their 7 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.91 for UPDF and 1.02 for Kitara. The models give UPDF a 27% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Kitara win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
UPDF
KitaraHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| UPDF | Home | Away | Kitara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 33% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 0% | 33% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 67% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| UPDF | Home | Away | Kitara | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 67% | 71% | 33% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 33% | 33% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 67% | 33% | 29% | 67% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UPDF | Kitara | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 33% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UPDF | Kitara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 57% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 17% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 0% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
UPDF (H)
BUL0–2
Maroons1–0
Kataka0–0
Calvary0–0
KCCA1–2
URA0–0Kitara (A)Kataka2–1
Express1–1
Mogadishu City2–1
SC Villa1–1BUL1–1Express2–3Head to Head · 8 matches
KitaraUPDFKitaraUPDFKitaraUPDFKitaraUPDF| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 19 |
| 2 | SC Villa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 |  NEC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 |  Entebbe UPPC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Blacks Power | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Vipers | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 11 |
| 7 | Maroons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 | KCCA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | UPDF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Lugazi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Police | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 | Express | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Mbarara City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | URA | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 | Kataka | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 |  Kigezi HomeBoyz | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 1 |
Team Insights
UPDF—
Kitara- ●Kitara have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Kitara have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●63% of Kitara's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
UPDFBUL0–2Express2–1Maroons1–0Police0–0Entebbe UPPC1–2Kataka0–0URA27/10Kitara31/10NEC03/11KitaraKataka2–1Kigezi HomeBoyz1–0Express1–1SC Villa1–1BUL28/10UPDF31/10Police03/11Top Scorers
UPDFKitaraCards Given
UPDFKitara