Uganda · Premier League · Regular Season - 9

Mbarara City

14º · 0.83 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 9d 0h

–

KCCA

8º · 1.67 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 18d 0h

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Mbarara City and KCCA meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Mbarara City have recorded 1 wins from 6 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 0.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 17% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 17%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. KCCA have won 50% of their 6 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 0%, Over 2.5 at 0%, and clean sheets at 67%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.86 for Mbarara City and 0.84 for KCCA. The models give Mbarara City a 29% win probability, with a draw at 32% and an KCCA win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 24% and BTTS at 33%.

Season Statistics

Mbarara City

—

KCCA

14º

Position

8º

0.83

PPG

1.67

17%

Win %

50%

0.33

Goals / game

0.67

0.83

Conceded / game

0.67

17%

BTTS %

33%

Clean sheet %

67%

17%

Over 2.5 %

Home vs Away

Mbarara City

Home (3)

—

KCCA

Away (4)

1.67

PPG

1.75

33%

Win %

50%

0.67

Goals / game

0.75

0.33

Conceded / game

0.50

33%

BTTS %

67%

Clean sheet %

75%

33%

Over 2.5 %

Goals Scored

	Mbarara City	Home	Away	KCCA	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	17%	33%	0%	50%	50%	50%
Over 1.5 Scored	17%	33%	0%	17%	0%	25%
Over 2.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	83%	67%	100%	50%	50%	50%

Goals Conceded

	Mbarara City	Home	Away	KCCA	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	67%	33%	100%	33%	50%	25%
Over 1.5 Conceded	17%	0%	33%	33%	50%	25%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	33%	67%	0%	67%	50%	75%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Mbarara City	KCCA
Over 0.5	67%	83%
Over 1.5	33%	50%
Over 2.5	17%	0%
Over 3.5	0%	0%
Over 4.5	0%	0%
BTTS	17%	0%
BTTS & Win	17%	0%
BTTS & Draw	0%	0%
BTTS & Over 2.5	17%	0%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Mbarara City	KCCA
Win 1st Half	17%	17%
Draw 1st Half	50%	67%
Loss 1st Half	33%	17%
Scored 1st Half	17%	17%
Conceded 1st Half	33%	17%
Win 2nd Half	0%	50%
Draw 2nd Half	50%	17%
Loss 2nd Half	50%	33%
Scored 2nd Half	0%	50%
Conceded 2nd Half	50%	33%
Over 0.5 HT	50%	33%
Over 1.5 HT	17%	0%

Recent Venue Form

Mbarara City (H)

Blacks Power2–1

Entebbe UPPC0–0

NEC0–0

Buhimba Saints2–0

SC Villa1–3

Express2–1

KCCA (A)

Ntugasaze2–0

URA1–0

Kigezi HomeBoyz0–0

Express0–2

URA0–0

UPDF2–1

Head to Head · 16 matches

Mbarara City

13%

Draws

38%

KCCA

50%

56%

Over 1.5

9/16

31%

Over 2.5

5/16

13%

Over 3.5

2/16

38%

BTTS

6/16

23/05/26

KCCA

4–1

Mbarara City

28/11/25

Mbarara City

1–2

KCCA

26/04/25

KCCA

1–0

Mbarara City

07/01/25

Mbarara City

0–2

KCCA

18/04/24

KCCA

4–0

Mbarara City

06/12/23

Mbarara City

2–1

KCCA

13/02/22

Mbarara City

1–1

KCCA

05/01/22

KCCA

1–0

Mbarara City

21/04/21

Mbarara City

0–0

KCCA

11/12/20

KCCA

2–0

Mbarara City

08/01/20

KCCA

1–0

Mbarara City

26/11/19

Mbarara City

2–1

KCCA

30/01/19

Mbarara City

0–0

KCCA

31/10/18

KCCA

0–0

Mbarara City

03/04/18

KCCA

1–1

Mbarara City

28/11/17

Mbarara City

0–0

KCCA

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	BUL	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	SC Villa	7	5	2	0	+13	17
3	NEC	7	4	2	1	+8	14
4	Entebbe UPPC	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	Blacks Power	7	4	0	3	-2	12
6	Vipers	6	3	2	1	+11	11
7	Maroons	7	3	1	3	+5	10
8	KCCA	6	3	1	2	0	10
9	Kitara	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	UPDF	6	2	2	2	-1	8
11	Lugazi	7	2	2	3	-5	8
12	Police	7	2	2	3	-6	8
13	Express	7	1	3	3	-2	6
14	Mbarara City	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	URA	6	1	1	4	-5	4
16	Ntugasaze	6	1	0	5	-10	3
17	Kataka	7	0	2	5	-13	2
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	6	0	1	5	-8	1