MatchPulse

UPDF vs URA — Premier League

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UPDF
UPDF
10º · 1.33 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 8d 23h
vs
–
–
URA
URA
15º · 0.67 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 3d 0h
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UPDF and URA meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 27 October 2026. UPDF have recorded 2 wins from 6 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. URA have won 17% of their 6 matches, with 0.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 17%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.21 for UPDF and 1.05 for URA. The models give UPDF a 39% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an URA win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 46%.

Season Statistics

UPDF
—
URA
10º
Position
15º
1.33
PPG
0.67
33%
Win %
17%
0.67
Goals / game
0.83
0.83
Conceded / game
1.67
33%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
17%
33%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

UPDF
Home (3)
—
URA
Away (3)
1.33
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
33%
0.33
Goals / game
1.67
0.67
Conceded / game
2.67
0%
BTTS %
100%
67%
Clean sheet %
0%
0%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

UPDFHomeAwayURAHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored50%33%67%50%0%100%
Over 1.5 Scored17%0%33%33%0%67%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%0%0%0%
Failed To Score50%67%33%50%100%0%

Goals Conceded

UPDFHomeAwayURAHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded50%33%67%83%67%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded33%33%33%33%0%67%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%33%0%67%
Clean Sheets50%67%33%17%33%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

UPDFURA
Over 0.567%83%
Over 1.550%50%
Over 2.533%50%
Over 3.50%33%
Over 4.50%33%
BTTS33%50%
BTTS & Win17%17%
BTTS & Draw0%0%
BTTS & Over 2.533%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

UPDFURA
Win 1st Half33%0%
Draw 1st Half67%33%
Loss 1st Half0%67%
Scored 1st Half50%33%
Conceded 1st Half17%67%
Win 2nd Half0%17%
Draw 2nd Half50%50%
Loss 2nd Half50%33%
Scored 2nd Half0%33%
Conceded 2nd Half50%50%
Over 0.5 HT50%67%
Over 1.5 HT33%33%

Recent Venue Form

UPDF (H)
LBUL0–2
WMaroons1–0
DKataka0–0
DCalvary0–0
LKCCA1–2
DURA0–0
URA (A)
LBlacks Power2–3
LNEC1–4
WMaroons2–1
WBuhimba Saints3–0
DVipers1–1
DUPDF0–0

Head to Head · 14 matches

1
UPDF
7%
5
Draws
36%
8
URA
57%
50%
Over 1.5
7/14
36%
Over 2.5
5/14
14%
Over 3.5
2/14
50%
BTTS
7/14
24/04/26
UPDF
0–0
URA
29/10/25
URA
3–2
UPDF
07/03/25
URA
2–1
UPDF
24/10/24
UPDF
0–0
URA
06/02/24
URA
1–0
UPDF
17/09/23
UPDF
0–0
URA
12/05/23
URA
1–1
UPDF
06/12/22
UPDF
1–1
URA
29/04/22
UPDF
0–1
URA
29/10/21
URA
3–1
UPDF
23/05/21
URA
2–1
UPDF
02/03/21
UPDF
0–1
URA
04/04/18
UPDF
1–0
URA
13/09/17
URA
2–1
UPDF
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1BUL7610+1119
2SC Villa7520+1317
3NEC7421+814
4Entebbe UPPC7421+514
5Blacks Power7403-212
6Vipers6321+1111
7Maroons7313+510
8KCCA6312010
9Kitara4220+28
10UPDF6222-18
11Lugazi7223-58
12Police7223-68
13Express7133-26
14Mbarara City6123-35
15URA6114-54
16Ntugasaze6105-103
17Kataka7025-132
18Kigezi HomeBoyz6015-81

Team Insights

UPDF

—

URA
  • ●URA have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
  • ●URA have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●80% of URA's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●URA have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
LHBUL1º0–2
WAExpress13º2–1
WHMaroons7º1–0
DAPolice12º0–0
LAEntebbe UPPC4º1–2
DHKataka17º0–0
LASC Villa3º1–2
DHCalvary15º0–0
LHKCCA2º1–2
LAEntebbe UPPC5º0–2
LABlacks Power5º2–3
DHEntebbe UPPC4º0–0
LHKCCA8º0–1
LANEC3º1–4
LHSC Villa2º0–1
WAMaroons7º2–1
WABuhimba Saints16º3–0
DHKCCA2º0–0
DHCalvary15º1–1
DAVipers1º1–1

Season Schedule

UPDF
LHBUL0–2
WAExpress2–1
WHMaroons1–0
DAPolice0–0
LAEntebbe UPPC1–2
DHKataka0–0
–HURA27/10
–HKitara31/10
–ANEC03/11
URA
LABlacks Power2–3
DHEntebbe UPPC0–0
LHKCCA0–1
LANEC1–4
LHSC Villa0–1
WAMaroons2–1
–AUPDF27/10
–HVipers31/10
–AKataka04/11

Top Scorers

UPDF
D. Talemwa2 ⚽
D. Taremwa1 ⚽
H. Zzinda1 ⚽
URA
D. Galiwango3 ⚽
A. Tusubira1 ⚽
I. Mugulusi1 ⚽

Cards Given

UPDF
S. Kalule1 🟨
URA
N. Namanya1 🟨