Velež vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo — Premijer Liga
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Velež and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo meet in the Premijer Liga 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Velež have recorded 7 wins from 18 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 0.94 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 39% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 39%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have won 29% of their 17 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 35%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Velež and 0.69 for Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. The models give Velež a 53% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Zeljeznicar Sarajevo win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36% and BTTS at 38%.
Season Statistics
Velež—
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo10º
Position
5º
0.89
PPG
1.18
22%
Win %
27%
0.67
Goals / game
1.09
1.56
Conceded / game
1.36
39%
BTTS %
47%
33%
Clean sheet %
18%
39%
Over 2.5 %
35%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
4.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Velež
Home (4)
—
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
0.33
50%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
0.50
0.25
Conceded / game
1.83
38%
BTTS %
33%
50%
Clean sheet %
11%
25%
Over 2.5 %
22%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
4.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Velež | Home | Away | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 75% | 60% | 65% | 88% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 28% | 25% | 30% | 24% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 25% | 40% | 35% | 13% | 56% |
Goals Conceded
| Velež | Home | Away | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 80% | 82% | 75% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 25% | 50% | 35% | 13% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 13% | 30% | 18% | 13% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 50% | 20% | 18% | 25% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Velež | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 39% | 35% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 18% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 39% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 28% | 18% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Velež | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 28% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 47% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 24% |
Recent Venue Form
Velež (H)D
Siroki Brijeg0–0
Siroki Brijeg0–0W
FK Sarajevo1–0
FK Sarajevo1–0D
Radnik Bijeljina1–1
Radnik Bijeljina1–1W
Sloga Doboj2–0
Sloga Doboj2–0L
Dunajska Streda0–3
Dunajska Streda0–3D
Milsami Orhei1–1
Milsami Orhei1–1Zeljeznicar Sarajevo (A)LFK Sarajevo0–2
FK Sarajevo0–2D
BSK Banja Luka1–1
BSK Banja Luka1–1LRadnik Bijeljina1–3
Radnik Bijeljina1–3DSloga Doboj1–1
Sloga Doboj1–1L
Borac Banja Luka0–2
Borac Banja Luka0–2L
Zrinjski0–2
Zrinjski0–2Head to Head · 24 matches
10
Velež
42%
5
Draws
21%
9
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
38%
63%
Over 1.5
15/24
42%
Over 2.5
10/24
13%
Over 3.5
3/24
46%
BTTS
11/24
06/09/26Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
3–1Velež25/04/26Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0–0Velež21/02/26Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Velež
1–0Zeljeznicar Sarajevo02/11/25Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1–2Velež15/08/25Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Velež
0–1Zeljeznicar Sarajevo25/05/25Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2–1Velež10/11/24Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2–1Velež10/08/24Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Velež
1–2Zeljeznicar Sarajevo29/03/24Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0–1Velež08/12/23Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0–1Velež03/09/23Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Velež
1–0Zeljeznicar Sarajevo07/05/23Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2–1Velež19/04/23Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1–2Velež05/04/23Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Velež
1–0Zeljeznicar Sarajevo22/10/22Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2–0Velež05/08/22Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Velež
3–1Zeljeznicar Sarajevo20/03/22Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1–0Velež25/02/22Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Velež
2–0Zeljeznicar Sarajevo18/09/21Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0–0Velež12/05/21Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Velež
2–2Zeljeznicar Sarajevo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | +20 | 30 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 3 | FK Sarajevo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 4 | Siroki Brijeg | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 5 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Čelik | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | BSK Banja Luka | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 8 | Sloga Doboj | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 9 | Radnik Bijeljina | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 8 |
| 10 | Velež | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
Team Insights
Velež- ●Velež have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Velež have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Velež have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Velež failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Velež have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Velež failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Velež have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●93% of Velež's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Velež's points have been earned at home.
- ●Velež have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo- ●Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Zeljeznicar Sarajevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Zeljeznicar Sarajevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Zeljeznicar Sarajevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Zeljeznicar Sarajevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●75% of Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●85% of Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
VeležDHSiroki Brijeg0–0
Siroki Brijeg0–0LAZrinjski0–2
Zrinjski0–2WHFK Sarajevo1–0
FK Sarajevo1–0LAZeljeznicar Sarajevo1–3
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1–3DHRadnik Bijeljina1–1
Radnik Bijeljina1–1LAČelik0–3
Čelik0–3–HBSK Banja Luka25/10
BSK Banja Luka25/10–ASloga Doboj31/10
Sloga Doboj31/10–HČelik07/11
Čelik07/11Zeljeznicar SarajevoLAFK Sarajevo0–2
FK Sarajevo0–2DABSK Banja Luka1–1
BSK Banja Luka1–1LARadnik Bijeljina1–3
Radnik Bijeljina1–3DHČelik1–1
Čelik1–1DASloga Doboj1–1
Sloga Doboj1–1WHFK Sarajevo2–0
FK Sarajevo2–0–HZrinjski31/10
Zrinjski31/10–ASiroki Brijeg07/11
Siroki Brijeg07/11–HBorac Banja Luka21/11
Borac Banja Luka21/11Top Scorers
VeležI. Saric3 ⚽
A. Mesic3 ⚽
A. Milak2 ⚽
M. Rahimic2 ⚽
L. Ignatov1 ⚽
N. Stojanovic1 ⚽
Zeljeznicar SarajevoR. Piloto3 ⚽
M. Huskovic3 ⚽
Vini Peixoto2 ⚽
A. Pejic2 ⚽
M. Cvetanoski1 ⚽
G. Cunha1 ⚽
Cards Given
VeležA. Nukic3 🟨
A. Hrkac2 🟨
A. Imamovic2 🟨
A. Omerovic2 🟨
M. Abdallah2 🟨
A. Mesic1 🟨
Zeljeznicar SarajevoA. Pejic3 🟨
S. Jovanovic2 🟨
M. Karamarko2 🟨
A. Ibrisimovic2 🟨
A. Rascic2 🟨
S. Radovac2 🟨