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Velež vs Čelik — Premijer Liga

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Bosnia & Herzegovina · Premijer Liga · Regular Season - 13
Velež
Velež
10º · 0.89 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 29d 0h
vs
–
–
Čelik
Čelik
6º · 0.91 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 2h
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Velež and Čelik meet in the Premijer Liga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Velež have recorded 7 wins from 18 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 0.94 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 39% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 39%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Čelik have won 23% of their 13 matches, with 1.23 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 38%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.28 for Velež and 0.77 for Čelik. The models give Velež a 47% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Čelik win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 34% and BTTS at 39%.

Season Statistics

Velež
—
Čelik
10º
Position
6º
0.89
PPG
0.91
22%
Win %
18%
0.67
Goals / game
1.00
1.56
Conceded / game
1.36
39%
BTTS %
46%
33%
Clean sheet %
38%
39%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
2.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
42.0%

Home vs Away

Velež
Home (4)
—
Čelik
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
0.50
50%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
0.67
0.25
Conceded / game
1.33
38%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
33%
25%
Over 2.5 %
33%
0.0
Avg corners
2.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
2.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
2.5
0.0%
Avg possession
42.0%

Goals Scored

VeležHomeAwayČelikHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored67%75%60%62%71%50%
Over 1.5 Scored28%25%30%31%43%17%
Over 2.5 Scored0%0%0%23%43%0%
Failed To Score33%25%40%38%29%50%

Goals Conceded

VeležHomeAwayČelikHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded67%50%80%62%57%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded39%25%50%46%43%50%
Over 2.5 Conceded22%13%30%15%14%17%
Clean Sheets33%50%20%38%43%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

VeležČelik
Over 0.594%77%
Over 1.578%77%
Over 2.539%54%
Over 3.511%23%
Over 4.50%15%
BTTS39%46%
BTTS & Win11%8%
BTTS & Draw11%15%
BTTS & Over 2.528%31%
BTTS No & Over 2.511%23%

1st Half / 2nd Half

VeležČelik
Win 1st Half22%38%
Draw 1st Half39%46%
Loss 1st Half39%15%
Scored 1st Half28%46%
Conceded 1st Half39%31%
Win 2nd Half28%15%
Draw 2nd Half44%46%
Loss 2nd Half28%38%
Scored 2nd Half56%46%
Conceded 2nd Half61%62%
Over 0.5 HT61%62%
Over 1.5 HT33%31%

Recent Venue Form

Velež (H)
DSiroki Brijeg0–0
WFK Sarajevo1–0
DRadnik Bijeljina1–1
WSloga Doboj2–0
LDunajska Streda0–3
DMilsami Orhei1–1
Čelik (A)
DSiroki Brijeg0–0
DZeljeznicar Sarajevo1–1
LBSK Banja Luka2–3
DSloga Doboj0–0
LBorac Banja Luka0–2
LZrinjski1–2

Team Corners

Team CornersVeležČelik
Corners Earned / Match0.02.0
Corners Against / Match0.03.0
Over 2.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 3.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For0%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against0%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against0%0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against0%0%

Head to Head · 3 matches

1
Velež
33%
0
Draws
0%
2
Čelik
67%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
28/08/26
Čelik
3–0
Velež
25/10/19
Čelik
0–2
Velež
03/08/19
Velež
1–2
Čelik
Premijer Liga
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Zrinjski111001+2030
2Borac Banja Luka9711+1022
3FK Sarajevo11533+318
4Siroki Brijeg11353014
5Zeljeznicar Sarajevo11344-313
6Čelik11245-410
7BSK Banja Luka10235-49
8Sloga Doboj10235-89
9Radnik Bijeljina11155-68
10Velež9225-88

Team Insights

Velež
  • ●Velež have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Velež have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Velež have lost their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Velež failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Velež have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Velež failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Velež have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●93% of Velež's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●100% of Velež's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Velež have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Čelik
  • ●Čelik have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●64% of Čelik's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Čelik have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
VeležVelež
DHSiroki Brijeg4º0–0
LAZrinjski1º0–2
WHFK Sarajevo3º1–0
LAZeljeznicar Sarajevo5º1–3
DHRadnik Bijeljina9º1–1
LAČelik6º0–3
WHSloga Doboj8º2–0
LABSK Banja Luka7º0–2
LABorac Banja Luka2º1–3
LHDunajska Streda0–3
ČelikČelik
DASiroki Brijeg4º0–0
LHZrinjski1º0–3
DHFK Sarajevo3º0–0
DAZeljeznicar Sarajevo5º1–1
WHRadnik Bijeljina9º3–2
LABSK Banja Luka7º2–3
DASloga Doboj8º0–0
WHVelež10º3–0
LABorac Banja Luka2º0–2
LHSiroki Brijeg4º1–2

Season Schedule

Velež
DHSiroki Brijeg0–0
LAZrinjski0–2
WHFK Sarajevo1–0
LAZeljeznicar Sarajevo1–3
DHRadnik Bijeljina1–1
LAČelik0–3
–HBSK Banja Luka25/10
–ASloga Doboj31/10
–HČelik07/11
Čelik
DASiroki Brijeg0–0
LHZrinjski0–3
DHFK Sarajevo0–0
DAZeljeznicar Sarajevo1–1
WHRadnik Bijeljina3–2
LABSK Banja Luka2–3
–HBorac Banja Luka31/10
–AVelež07/11
–HSloga Doboj21/11

Top Scorers

Velež
I. Saric3 ⚽
A. Mesic3 ⚽
A. Milak2 ⚽
M. Rahimic2 ⚽
L. Ignatov1 ⚽
N. Stojanovic1 ⚽
Čelik
A. Masic8 ⚽
A. Hrvanovic2 ⚽
B. Jenjic2 ⚽
D. Sijamija1 ⚽
E. Sieh1 ⚽
O. Sarkic1 ⚽

Cards Given

Velež
A. Nukic3 🟨
A. Hrkac2 🟨
A. Imamovic2 🟨
A. Omerovic2 🟨
M. Abdallah2 🟨
A. Mesic1 🟨
Čelik
F. Gogic5 🟨
H. Sabanovic3 🟨
M. Popovic3 🟨
A. Masic2 🟨
J. Amoah2 🟨
K. Horic2 🟨