Jarabacoa vs Vega Real — Liga Mayor
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Jarabacoa and Vega Real meet in the Liga Mayor 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Jarabacoa have recorded 2 wins from 12 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 0.83 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Vega Real have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.25 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.16 for Jarabacoa and 0.98 for Vega Real. The models give Jarabacoa a 37% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Vega Real win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Jarabacoa | Home | Away | Vega Real | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 42% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 33% | 17% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 17% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 58% | 50% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Jarabacoa | Home | Away | Vega Real | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 83% | 100% | 58% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 50% | 67% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 17% | 50% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 17% | 0% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Jarabacoa | Vega Real | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS | 33% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Jarabacoa | Vega Real | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 58% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 8% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 58% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 19 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | +16 | 29 | |
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 21 | |
| 3 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 17 | |
| 4 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 16 | |
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 14 | |
| 6 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 13 | |
| 7 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 5 | |
| 8 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -27 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●Jarabacoa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Jarabacoa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Jarabacoa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Jarabacoa failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Jarabacoa have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Jarabacoa's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Jarabacoa's points have been earned at home.
- ●Jarabacoa have scored 70% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Vega Real have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Vega Real have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Vega Real have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of Vega Real's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Vega Real's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●76% of Vega Real's points have been earned at home.

