Progresul Mogosoaia vs Alexandria — Liga III - Serie 5
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Progresul Mogosoaia and Alexandria meet in the Liga III - Serie 5 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Progresul Mogosoaia have recorded 6 wins from 13 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.85 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Alexandria have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Progresul Mogosoaia and 1.49 for Alexandria. The models give Progresul Mogosoaia a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Alexandria win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Progresul MogosoaiaAlexandriaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Progresul Mogosoaia | Home | Away | Alexandria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 88% | 80% | 75% | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 63% | 60% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 50% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 13% | 20% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Progresul Mogosoaia | Home | Away | Alexandria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 63% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 50% | 40% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 38% | 20% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 38% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Progresul Mogosoaia | Alexandria | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 8% |
| BTTS | 62% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Progresul Mogosoaia | Alexandria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 58% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Progresul Mogosoaia (H)
Oxigen Bucuresti4–2
LPS HD Clinceni2–1
Cetatea3–3
Dinamo Bucureşti II0–3
Voluntari II1–0
Concordia1–4Alexandria (A)Cetatea1–1Voluntari II2–0
FCSB II3–1
Omega Sport0–1
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu0–3
CSL Nanov2–2Head to Head · 1 matches
Progresul Mogosoaia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omega Sport | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 21 |
| 2 | LPS HD Clinceni | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 20 |
| 3 | Alexandria | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 |
| 4 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Dinamo Bucureşti II | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 6 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 7 |  Axi Adunații-Copăceni | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 12 |
| 8 | Cetatea | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 10 |
| 9 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | FCSB II | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 10 |
| 11 | Voluntari II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Progresul Spartac | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
Team Insights
Progresul Mogosoaia- ●Progresul Mogosoaia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Progresul Mogosoaia have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Progresul Mogosoaia have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Progresul Mogosoaia have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Progresul Mogosoaia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Progresul Mogosoaia failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Progresul Mogosoaia failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Progresul Mogosoaia have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Alexandria- ●Alexandria have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Alexandria have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●70% of Alexandria's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Alexandria have conceded 90% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Progresul MogosoaiaOxigen Bucuresti4–2FCSB II2–5LPS HD Clinceni2–1Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu1–1Cetatea3–3Omega Sport0–1Axi Adunații-Copăceni30/10Alexandria07/11Voluntari II13/11AlexandriaLPS HD Clinceni0–3Cetatea1–1Dinamo Bucureşti II1–0Voluntari II2–0Axi Adunații-Copăceni2–0FCSB II3–1Oxigen Bucuresti31/10Progresul Mogosoaia07/11Progresul Spartac14/11Top Scorers
Progresul MogosoaiaAlexandria