Progresul Fundulea vs Dunarea Calarasi — Liga III - Serie 4
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Progresul Fundulea and Dunarea Calarasi meet in the Liga III - Serie 4 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Progresul Fundulea have recorded 7 wins from 11 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 2.55 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Dunarea Calarasi have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.07 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.41 for Progresul Fundulea and 1.20 for Dunarea Calarasi. The models give Progresul Fundulea a 61% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Dunarea Calarasi win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Progresul Fundulea—
Dunarea Calarasi2º
Position
7º
2.00
PPG
1.40
67%
Win %
40%
2.67
Goals / game
1.00
1.33
Conceded / game
1.30
55%
BTTS %
29%
36%
Clean sheet %
36%
73%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Progresul Fundulea
Home (4)
—
Dunarea Calarasi
Away (4)
3.00
PPG
1.50
100%
Win %
50%
4.00
Goals / game
1.00
0.50
Conceded / game
1.50
50%
BTTS %
33%
50%
Clean sheet %
33%
100%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Progresul Fundulea | Home | Away | Dunarea Calarasi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 100% | 86% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 73% | 100% | 57% | 43% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 75% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 0% | 14% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Progresul Fundulea | Home | Away | Dunarea Calarasi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 50% | 71% | 64% | 63% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 0% | 71% | 36% | 38% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 29% | 21% | 25% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 50% | 29% | 36% | 38% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Progresul Fundulea | Dunarea Calarasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 55% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 45% | 7% |
| BTTS | 55% | 29% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 21% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Progresul Fundulea | Dunarea Calarasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 9% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 73% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 36% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 55% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Progresul Fundulea (H)W
Portul Constanta6–0
Portul Constanta6–0W
Gloria Băneasa2–1
Gloria Băneasa2–1W
Axiopolis4–0
Axiopolis4–0W
FC Oţelul II4–1
FC Oţelul II4–1WAxiopolis3–1
Axiopolis3–1WGloria Băneasa4–1
Gloria Băneasa4–1Dunarea Calarasi (A)L
Înainte Modelu0–2
Înainte Modelu0–2WPortul Constanta2–1
Portul Constanta2–1WGloria Băneasa2–0
Gloria Băneasa2–0LAxiopolis0–3
Axiopolis0–3WGloria Băneasa3–1
Gloria Băneasa3–1D
Metalul Buzău0–0
Metalul Buzău0–0Head to Head · 10 matches
2
Progresul Fundulea
20%
5
Draws
50%
3
Dunarea Calarasi
30%
60%
Over 1.5
6/10
20%
Over 2.5
2/10
20%
Over 3.5
2/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
28/08/26Progresul Fundulea
Dunarea Calarasi
0–1Progresul Fundulea28/03/26Dunarea Calarasi
Progresul Fundulea
1–3Dunarea Calarasi01/11/25Progresul Fundulea
Dunarea Calarasi
1–1Progresul Fundulea10/05/25Dunarea Calarasi
Progresul Fundulea
1–1Dunarea Calarasi18/04/25Progresul Fundulea
Dunarea Calarasi
0–0Progresul Fundulea29/03/25Dunarea Calarasi
Progresul Fundulea
0–1Dunarea Calarasi08/03/25Progresul Fundulea
Dunarea Calarasi
1–1Progresul Fundulea19/10/24Dunarea Calarasi
Progresul Fundulea
2–0Dunarea Calarasi11/11/23Dunarea Calarasi
Progresul Fundulea
0–0Dunarea Calarasi08/09/23Progresul Fundulea
Dunarea Calarasi
3–1Progresul Fundulea| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Agricola Borcea | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +23 | 27 |
| 2 | Progresul Fundulea | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +12 | 18 |
| 3 | Înainte Modelu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 4 |  Sporting Lieşti | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 |  Agigea | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Dunarea Calarasi | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Unirea Braniştea | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Axiopolis | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Gloria Băneasa | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 7 |
| 11 | FC Oţelul II | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7 |
| 12 | Portul Constanta | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -21 | 3 |
Team Insights
Progresul Fundulea- ●Progresul Fundulea have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Progresul Fundulea have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Progresul Fundulea have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Progresul Fundulea have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Progresul Fundulea have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Progresul Fundulea have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Progresul Fundulea have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Progresul Fundulea have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Progresul Fundulea have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●86% of Progresul Fundulea's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Progresul Fundulea have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Dunarea Calarasi- ●Dunarea Calarasi have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Dunarea Calarasi failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Dunarea Calarasi have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Progresul FunduleaWAAgigea4–2
Agigea4–2WHPortul Constanta6–0
Portul Constanta6–0WASporting Lieşti2–0
Sporting Lieşti2–0WHGloria Băneasa2–1
Gloria Băneasa2–1LARecolta Gheorghe Doja1–2
Recolta Gheorghe Doja1–2WHAxiopolis4–0
Axiopolis4–0–HÎnainte Modelu31/10
Înainte Modelu31/10–HDunarea Calarasi07/11
Dunarea Calarasi07/11–AFC Oţelul II13/11
FC Oţelul II13/11Dunarea CalarasiWHFC Oţelul II2–0
FC Oţelul II2–0DHUnirea Braniştea1–1
Unirea Braniştea1–1LAÎnainte Modelu0–2
Înainte Modelu0–2DHAgigea0–0
Agigea0–0WAPortul Constanta2–1
Portul Constanta2–1WHSporting Lieşti3–2
Sporting Lieşti3–2–AAgricola Borcea31/10
Agricola Borcea31/10–AProgresul Fundulea07/11
Progresul Fundulea07/11–HAxiopolis13/11
Axiopolis13/11