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Gheorgheni vs Aerostar Bacau — Liga III - Serie 1

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Gheorgheni
Gheorgheni
9º · 0.89 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 0h
vs
–
–
Aerostar Bacau
Aerostar Bacau
8º · 1.44 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 0h
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Gheorgheni and Aerostar Bacau meet in the Liga III - Serie 1 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Gheorgheni have recorded 4 wins from 13 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.62 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Aerostar Bacau have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 17%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Gheorgheni and 1.15 for Aerostar Bacau. The models give Gheorgheni a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Aerostar Bacau win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Gheorgheni
—
Aerostar Bacau
9º
Position
8º
0.89
PPG
1.44
22%
Win %
44%
1.44
Goals / game
1.56
2.00
Conceded / game
1.33
54%
BTTS %
42%
23%
Clean sheet %
17%
54%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Gheorgheni
Home (5)
—
Aerostar Bacau
Away (5)
1.60
PPG
0.60
40%
Win %
20%
1.80
Goals / game
0.60
1.20
Conceded / game
1.80
44%
BTTS %
17%
33%
Clean sheet %
17%
44%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

GheorgheniHomeAwayAerostar BacauHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored77%78%75%58%83%33%
Over 1.5 Scored46%56%25%50%67%33%
Over 2.5 Scored15%22%0%42%50%33%
Failed To Score23%22%25%42%17%67%

Goals Conceded

GheorgheniHomeAwayAerostar BacauHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded77%67%100%83%83%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded62%44%100%33%0%67%
Over 2.5 Conceded15%0%50%25%0%50%
Clean Sheets23%33%0%17%17%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

GheorgheniAerostar Bacau
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.585%83%
Over 2.554%67%
Over 3.546%33%
Over 4.531%17%
BTTS54%42%
BTTS & Win8%25%
BTTS & Draw23%17%
BTTS & Over 2.546%33%
BTTS No & Over 2.58%33%

1st Half / 2nd Half

GheorgheniAerostar Bacau
Win 1st Half23%58%
Draw 1st Half23%17%
Loss 1st Half54%25%
Scored 1st Half38%58%
Conceded 1st Half62%33%
Win 2nd Half31%33%
Draw 2nd Half31%8%
Loss 2nd Half38%58%
Scored 2nd Half77%42%
Conceded 2nd Half69%83%
Over 0.5 HT85%83%
Over 1.5 HT38%33%

Recent Venue Form

Gheorgheni (H)
DCSM FC Vaslui2–2
DCeahlăul Piatra Neamţ2–2
DFC Bacău II1–1
WViitorul Onesti2–0
WPaşcani4–2
LOdorheiu Secuiesc0–1
Aerostar Bacau (A)
DUSV Iaşi3–3
LTârgu Secuiesc0–3
WCeahlăul Piatra Neamţ3–0
LOdorheiu Secuiesc0–2
LCSM FC Vaslui0–3
LCSM Adjud0–1

Head to Head · 4 matches

1
Gheorgheni
25%
2
Draws
50%
1
Aerostar Bacau
25%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
100%
Over 2.5
4/4
75%
Over 3.5
3/4
100%
BTTS
4/4
04/09/26
Aerostar Bacau
2–1
Gheorgheni
18/04/26
Aerostar Bacau
2–2
Gheorgheni
21/03/26
Gheorgheni
4–1
Aerostar Bacau
24/10/25
Aerostar Bacau
2–2
Gheorgheni
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1CSM FC Vaslui9810+1425
2CSM Adjud9522+917
3Târgu Secuiesc9522+717
4USV Iaşi9522+417
5Bradul Putna9513+816
6Odorheiu Secuiesc10352+214
7FC Bacău II10424-714
8Aerostar Bacau9414+213
9Gheorgheni9225-58
10Viitorul Onesti9126-45
11Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ9045-144
12Paşcani9027-162

Team Insights

Gheorgheni
  • ●Gheorgheni have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Gheorgheni failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Gheorgheni have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Gheorgheni have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Gheorgheni have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Gheorgheni have lost their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Gheorgheni have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Gheorgheni failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●73% of Gheorgheni's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●100% of Gheorgheni's points have been earned at home.
Aerostar Bacau
  • ●Aerostar Bacau have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Aerostar Bacau have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Aerostar Bacau have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Aerostar Bacau failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Aerostar Bacau have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●65% of Aerostar Bacau's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●80% of Aerostar Bacau's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Aerostar Bacau have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
DHCSM FC Vaslui1º2–2
LACSM Adjud2º1–4
DHFC Bacău II7º1–1
LAUSV Iaşi4º0–2
WHViitorul Onesti10º2–0
LATârgu Secuiesc3º2–4
WHPaşcani12º4–2
LAAerostar Bacau8º1–2
DAUSV Iaşi4º3–3
DHViitorul Onesti10º1–1
LATârgu Secuiesc3º0–3
WHPaşcani12º5–0
WHBradul Putna5º3–1
LACSM FC Vaslui1º0–3
WHGheorgheni9º2–1
LACSM Adjud2º0–1

Season Schedule

Gheorgheni
DHCSM FC Vaslui2–2
DHCeahlăul Piatra Neamţ2–2
LACSM Adjud1–4
DHFC Bacău II1–1
LAUSV Iaşi0–2
WHViitorul Onesti2–0
–ABradul Putna31/10
–AOdorheiu Secuiesc06/11
–HAerostar Bacau14/11
Aerostar Bacau
DAUSV Iaşi3–3
DHViitorul Onesti1–1
LATârgu Secuiesc0–3
WHPaşcani5–0
WACeahlăul Piatra Neamţ3–0
LAOdorheiu Secuiesc0–2
–HFC Bacău II30/10
–HCSM Adjud06/11
–AGheorgheni14/11