Rwanda · National Soccer League · Regular Season - 11

Sunrise

8º · 1.20 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 42d 0h

–

Gorilla

1º · 1.83 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 43d 0h

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Sunrise and Gorilla meet in the National Soccer League 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Sunrise have recorded 1 wins from 5 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 0.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Gorilla have won 50% of their 6 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 17%, Over 2.5 at 17%, and clean sheets at 67%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.79 for Sunrise and 0.62 for Gorilla. The models give Sunrise a 39% win probability, with a draw at 35% and an Gorilla win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 17% and BTTS at 26%.

Season Statistics

Sunrise

—

Gorilla

8º

Position

1º

1.20

PPG

1.83

20%

Win %

50%

0.60

Goals / game

0.67

1.20

Conceded / game

0.33

40%

BTTS %

17%

40%

Clean sheet %

67%

20%

Over 2.5 %

17%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Sunrise

Home (2)

—

Gorilla

Away (3)

2.00

PPG

1.67

50%

Win %

33%

1.00

Goals / game

0.33

0.50

Conceded / game

0.00

50%

BTTS %

50%

Clean sheet %

100%

Over 2.5 %

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Sunrise	Home	Away	Gorilla	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	67%	100%	33%	50%	67%	33%
Over 1.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	17%	33%	0%
Over 2.5 Scored	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	33%	0%	67%	50%	33%	67%

Goals Conceded

	Sunrise	Home	Away	Gorilla	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	67%	67%	67%	33%	67%	0%
Over 1.5 Conceded	17%	0%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Over 2.5 Conceded	17%	0%	33%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	33%	33%	33%	67%	33%	100%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Sunrise	Gorilla
Over 0.5	83%	67%
Over 1.5	67%	17%
Over 2.5	17%	17%
Over 3.5	17%	0%
Over 4.5	0%	0%
BTTS	50%	17%
BTTS & Win	0%	17%
BTTS & Draw	50%	0%
BTTS & Over 2.5	0%	17%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	17%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Sunrise	Gorilla
Win 1st Half	17%	17%
Draw 1st Half	83%	67%
Loss 1st Half	0%	17%
Scored 1st Half	50%	33%
Conceded 1st Half	33%	33%
Win 2nd Half	17%	33%
Draw 2nd Half	50%	67%
Loss 2nd Half	33%	0%
Scored 2nd Half	17%	33%
Conceded 2nd Half	33%	0%
Over 0.5 HT	50%	50%
Over 1.5 HT	33%	17%

Recent Venue Form

Sunrise (H)

Etoile de l'Est1–1

Gasogi United1–1

Police1–0

Marines3–1

Gorilla2–1

AS Kigali0–2

Gorilla (A)

Gasogi United0–0

Police0–0

Kiyovu Sports1–0

Rayon Sports1–1

Mukura1–2

Muhanga2–1

Head to Head · 5 matches

Sunrise

40%

Draws

40%

Gorilla

20%

100%

Over 1.5

5/5

40%

Over 2.5

2/5

Over 3.5

0/5

80%

BTTS

4/5

28/04/24

Sunrise

2–1

Gorilla

05/12/23

Gorilla

0–2

Sunrise

31/03/23

Gorilla

1–1

Sunrise

06/09/22

Sunrise

1–1

Gorilla

28/06/21

Gorilla

2–1

Sunrise

National Soccer League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gorilla	6	3	2	1	+2	11
2	Gicumbi	4	3	0	1	+2	9
3	Marines	4	2	1	1	+4	7
4	Amagaju	6	2	1	3	+3	7
5	Mukura	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Etincelles	5	2	1	2	-4	7
7	Bugesera	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Sunrise	5	1	3	1	-3	6
9	Gasogi United	5	1	2	2	-3	5
10	Police	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Kiyovu Sports	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	AS Kigali	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	APR	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Al Hilal Omdurman	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Musanze	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Etoile de l'Est	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Al Merreikh	1	0	1	0	0	1
18	Rayon Sports	2	0	1	1	-1	1