Nacional Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno — Division Profesional - Clausura
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Nacional Asuncion and Cerro Porteno meet in the Division Profesional - Clausura 2026 season on 18 November 2026. Nacional Asuncion have recorded 19 wins from 41 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 37%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Cerro Porteno have won 47% of their 49 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 37%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Nacional Asuncion and 1.00 for Cerro Porteno. The models give Nacional Asuncion a 47% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Cerro Porteno win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Nacional Asuncion—
Cerro Porteno4º
Position
7º
1.81
PPG
1.40
50%
Win %
40%
1.44
Goals / game
1.33
0.56
Conceded / game
1.07
54%
BTTS %
41%
39%
Clean sheet %
43%
37%
Over 2.5 %
37%
5.0
Avg corners
4.9
12.3
Avg shots
12.5
4.2
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.8
11.9
Avg fouls
10.9
50.2%
Avg possession
53.1%
Home vs Away
Nacional Asuncion
Home (8)
—
Cerro Porteno
Away (7)
2.13
PPG
1.00
63%
Win %
29%
1.50
Goals / game
1.43
0.25
Conceded / game
1.29
50%
BTTS %
46%
45%
Clean sheet %
38%
40%
Over 2.5 %
46%
5.0
Avg corners
4.9
12.3
Avg shots
12.5
4.2
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.8
50.2%
Avg possession
53.1%
Goals Scored
| Nacional Asuncion | Home | Away | Cerro Porteno | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 85% | 86% | 76% | 80% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 45% | 38% | 35% | 44% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 20% | 5% | 14% | 8% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 15% | 14% | 24% | 20% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Nacional Asuncion | Home | Away | Cerro Porteno | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 55% | 67% | 57% | 52% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 10% | 24% | 31% | 20% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 45% | 33% | 43% | 48% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nacional Asuncion | Cerro Porteno | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 37% |
| Over 3.5 | 12% | 16% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 6% |
| BTTS | 54% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 32% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nacional Asuncion | Cerro Porteno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 49% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 51% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 49% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 66% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Nacional Asuncion (H)L
Sportivo Trinidense0–1
Sportivo Trinidense0–1W
Deportivo Recoleta1–0
Deportivo Recoleta1–0D
Sportivo Ameliano1–1
Sportivo Ameliano1–1W
2 de Mayo3–0
2 de Mayo3–0W
Libertad Asuncion3–0
Libertad Asuncion3–0W
Sportivo Luqueno2–0
Sportivo Luqueno2–0Cerro Porteno (A)WSportivo Luqueno3–0
Sportivo Luqueno3–0LSportivo Trinidense1–2
Sportivo Trinidense1–2D
Club Guarani1–1
Club Guarani1–1WDeportivo Recoleta3–1
Deportivo Recoleta3–1W
Resistencia1–0
Resistencia1–0L
Olimpia1–2
Olimpia1–2Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
35 games
League Avg
10.0
82 games
9.4
Corners / Match
43 games
| Match Corners | Nacional Asuncion | Cerro Porteno | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 77% | 79% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 67% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 54% | 56% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 40% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 34% | 37% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 31% | 30% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 19% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 20% | 14% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Nacional Asuncion | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 91% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 46% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 51% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 34% | 51% |
Head to Head · 42 matches
8
Nacional Asuncion
19%
14
Draws
33%
20
Cerro Porteno
48%
79%
Over 1.5
33/42
50%
Over 2.5
21/42
29%
Over 3.5
12/42
57%
BTTS
24/42
07/09/26Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
1–0Nacional Asuncion11/04/26Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
0–0Cerro Porteno15/02/26Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
0–2Nacional Asuncion27/10/25Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
1–2Cerro Porteno08/08/25Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
0–0Nacional Asuncion15/04/25Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
1–3Cerro Porteno01/02/25Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
3–1Nacional Asuncion10/11/24Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
2–2Cerro Porteno28/08/24Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2–1Nacional Asuncion05/06/24Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
0–2Cerro Porteno29/03/24Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
1–0Nacional Asuncion26/11/23Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
1–1Cerro Porteno10/09/23Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
1–1Nacional Asuncion28/05/23Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
2–1Cerro Porteno26/03/23Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
4–1Nacional Asuncion10/10/22Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
0–0Cerro Porteno06/08/22Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
0–0Nacional Asuncion30/04/22Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
1–0Nacional Asuncion13/02/22Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
2–3Cerro Porteno21/11/21Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
1–5Cerro Porteno| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 30 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 30 |
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +12 | 30 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +14 | 29 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 28 |
| 6 | Club Guarani | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Sportivo Luqueno | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | -13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Rubio NU | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -12 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Recoleta | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -12 | 11 |
| 12 |  Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -19 | 4 |
Team Insights
Nacional Asuncion- ●Nacional Asuncion have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Nacional Asuncion have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●78% of Nacional Asuncion's goals conceded were conceded away.
Cerro Porteno- ●Cerro Porteno have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno have scored 75% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Nacional AsuncionLHSportivo Trinidense0–1
Sportivo Trinidense0–1WAClub Guarani2–0
Club Guarani2–0WHDeportivo Recoleta1–0
Deportivo Recoleta1–0DAOlimpia1–1
Olimpia1–1DHSportivo Ameliano1–1
Sportivo Ameliano1–1WH2 de Mayo3–0
2 de Mayo3–0–ASportivo Luqueno31/10
Sportivo Luqueno31/10–HClub Sp. San Lorenzo08/11
Club Sp. San Lorenzo08/11–ALibertad Asuncion15/11
Libertad Asuncion15/11Cerro PortenoDHSportivo Ameliano2–2
Sportivo Ameliano2–2WASportivo Luqueno3–0
Sportivo Luqueno3–0LH2 de Mayo0–2
2 de Mayo0–2LASportivo Trinidense1–2
Sportivo Trinidense1–2WHRubio NU1–0
Rubio NU1–0DAClub Guarani1–1
Club Guarani1–1–AClub Sp. San Lorenzo25/10
Club Sp. San Lorenzo25/10–HOlimpia01/11
Olimpia01/11–ALibertad Asuncion08/11
Libertad Asuncion08/11Top Scorers
Nacional AsuncionI. Bailone8 ⚽
H. A. Benitez7 ⚽
I. Valdez6 ⚽
C. R. Santa5 ⚽
Hugo Valdez5 ⚽
D. J. Colman Escobar4 ⚽
Cerro PortenoP. Vegetti7 ⚽
J. Morel7 ⚽
I. Aliseda7 ⚽
Pablo Vegetti6 ⚽
C. Dominguez6 ⚽
J. Iturbe5 ⚽
Cards Given
Nacional AsuncionRoberto Ramírez8 🟨
Hugo Valdez7 🟨
Santiago Rojas5 🟨
Rodrigo Melgarejo5 🟨
Alexis Canete4 🟨
Josué Colmán4 🟨
Cerro PortenoMatías Pérez7 🟨
Juan Iturbe4 🟨
Cecilio Domínguez4 🟨
F. Dominguez4 🟨
Fabricio Domínguez4 🟨
A. Gamarra3 🟨