Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta — Division Profesional - Clausura
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Cerro Porteno and Deportivo Recoleta meet in the Division Profesional - Clausura 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Cerro Porteno have recorded 23 wins from 49 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 41% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 37%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Deportivo Recoleta have won 29% of their 49 matches, with 1.31 goals scored and 1.51 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Cerro Porteno and 0.95 for Deportivo Recoleta. The models give Cerro Porteno a 52% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Deportivo Recoleta win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Cerro Porteno—
Deportivo Recoleta7º
Position
11º
1.40
PPG
0.73
40%
Win %
20%
1.33
Goals / game
1.00
1.07
Conceded / game
1.80
41%
BTTS %
67%
43%
Clean sheet %
18%
37%
Over 2.5 %
55%
4.9
Avg corners
4.0
12.5
Avg shots
10.0
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.2
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.2
10.9
Avg fouls
12.5
53.1%
Avg possession
47.4%
Home vs Away
Cerro Porteno
Home (8)
—
Deportivo Recoleta
Away (7)
1.75
PPG
0.57
50%
Win %
14%
1.25
Goals / game
0.71
0.88
Conceded / game
1.71
36%
BTTS %
60%
48%
Clean sheet %
20%
28%
Over 2.5 %
48%
4.9
Avg corners
4.0
12.5
Avg shots
10.0
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.2
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.2
53.1%
Avg possession
47.4%
Goals Scored
| Cerro Porteno | Home | Away | Deportivo Recoleta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 80% | 71% | 82% | 88% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 44% | 25% | 31% | 33% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 8% | 21% | 12% | 17% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 20% | 29% | 18% | 13% | 24% |
Goals Conceded
| Cerro Porteno | Home | Away | Deportivo Recoleta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 52% | 63% | 82% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 20% | 42% | 45% | 42% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 0% | 8% | 20% | 13% | 28% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 48% | 38% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cerro Porteno | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 16% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 14% |
| BTTS | 41% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 49% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cerro Porteno | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 49% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Cerro Porteno (H)D
Sportivo Ameliano2–2
Sportivo Ameliano2–2D
Club Sp. San Lorenzo2–2
Club Sp. San Lorenzo2–2L
2 de Mayo0–2
2 de Mayo0–2W
Rubio NU2–1
Rubio NU2–1WRubio NU1–0
Rubio NU1–0W
Nacional Asuncion1–0
Nacional Asuncion1–0Deportivo Recoleta (A)D2 de Mayo1–1
2 de Mayo1–1LNacional Asuncion0–1
Nacional Asuncion0–1DClub Sp. San Lorenzo0–0
Club Sp. San Lorenzo0–0L
Sportivo Luqueno0–1
Sportivo Luqueno0–1L
Club Guarani0–2
Club Guarani0–2W
Deportivo Santani2–0
Deportivo Santani2–0Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
43 games
League Avg
10.0
82 games
9.1
Corners / Match
45 games
| Match Corners | Cerro Porteno | Deportivo Recoleta | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 79% | 78% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 62% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 56% | 51% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 38% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 37% | 29% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 22% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 19% | 22% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 13% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cerro Porteno | Deportivo Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 51% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 47% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 77% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 51% | 62% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
6
Cerro Porteno
75%
1
Draws
13%
1
Deportivo Recoleta
13%
100%
Over 1.5
8/8
75%
Over 2.5
6/8
50%
Over 3.5
4/8
75%
BTTS
6/8
03/09/26Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
1–3Cerro Porteno03/05/26Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2–1Cerro Porteno01/03/26Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2–0Deportivo Recoleta03/10/25Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2–0Deportivo Recoleta26/07/25Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
1–3Cerro Porteno28/04/25Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
1–3Cerro Porteno15/02/25Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno
2–1Deportivo Recoleta18/09/24Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta
2–2Cerro Porteno| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olimpia | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 30 |
| 2 |  Libertad Asuncion | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 30 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Trinidense | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +12 | 30 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +14 | 29 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 28 |
| 6 | Club Guarani | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Sportivo Luqueno | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | -13 | 16 |
| 10 | Rubio NU | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -12 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Recoleta | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -12 | 11 |
| 12 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -19 | 4 |
Team Insights
Cerro Porteno- ●Cerro Porteno have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno have scored 75% of their goals in the first half.
Deportivo Recoleta- ●Deportivo Recoleta have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Recoleta failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Recoleta have lost 5 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Recoleta have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Recoleta failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Recoleta have lost 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●63% of Deportivo Recoleta's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Cerro PortenoDHSportivo Ameliano2–2
Sportivo Ameliano2–2WASportivo Luqueno3–0
Sportivo Luqueno3–0LH2 de Mayo0–2
2 de Mayo0–2LASportivo Trinidense1–2
Sportivo Trinidense1–2WHRubio NU1–0
Rubio NU1–0DAClub Guarani1–1
Club Guarani1–1–AClub Sp. San Lorenzo25/10
Club Sp. San Lorenzo25/10–HOlimpia01/11
Olimpia01/11–ALibertad Asuncion08/11
Libertad Asuncion08/11Deportivo RecoletaDA2 de Mayo1–1
2 de Mayo1–1WHRubio NU1–0
Rubio NU1–0LANacional Asuncion0–1
Nacional Asuncion0–1LHLibertad Asuncion1–2
Libertad Asuncion1–2DAClub Sp. San Lorenzo0–0
Club Sp. San Lorenzo0–0LASportivo Luqueno0–1
Sportivo Luqueno0–1–HSportivo Ameliano31/10
Sportivo Ameliano31/10–AOlimpia08/11
Olimpia08/11–ACerro Porteno15/11
Cerro Porteno15/11Top Scorers
Cerro PortenoP. Vegetti7 ⚽
J. Morel7 ⚽
I. Aliseda7 ⚽
Pablo Vegetti6 ⚽
C. Dominguez6 ⚽
J. Iturbe5 ⚽
Deportivo RecoletaA. Wlk15 ⚽
A. Gonzalez9 ⚽
W. Baez7 ⚽
R. Ortiz5 ⚽
K. Parzajuk4 ⚽
P. Rios3 ⚽
Cards Given
Cerro PortenoMatías Pérez7 🟨
Juan Iturbe4 🟨
Cecilio Domínguez4 🟨
F. Dominguez4 🟨
Fabricio Domínguez4 🟨
A. Gamarra3 🟨
Deportivo RecoletaJuan Franco12 🟨
Wilfrido Baez8 🟨
Lucas Monzon8 🟨
Facundo Echeguren7 🟨
Brahian Ferreira4 🟨
A. Franco4 🟨