Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno — Division Profesional - Clausura
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Libertad Asuncion and Cerro Porteno meet in the Division Profesional - Clausura 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Libertad Asuncion have recorded 18 wins from 46 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.37 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Cerro Porteno have won 47% of their 49 matches, with 1.27 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 37%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Libertad Asuncion and 1.23 for Cerro Porteno. The models give Libertad Asuncion a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Cerro Porteno win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Libertad Asuncion—
Cerro Porteno2º
Position
7º
1.88
PPG
1.40
56%
Win %
40%
1.50
Goals / game
1.33
1.06
Conceded / game
1.07
48%
BTTS %
41%
26%
Clean sheet %
43%
46%
Over 2.5 %
37%
4.7
Avg corners
4.9
13.5
Avg shots
12.5
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.8
10.4
Avg fouls
10.9
53.9%
Avg possession
53.1%
Home vs Away
Libertad Asuncion
Home (8)
—
Cerro Porteno
Away (7)
2.13
PPG
1.00
63%
Win %
29%
1.88
Goals / game
1.43
1.00
Conceded / game
1.29
50%
BTTS %
46%
32%
Clean sheet %
38%
45%
Over 2.5 %
46%
4.7
Avg corners
4.9
13.5
Avg shots
12.5
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.8
53.9%
Avg possession
53.1%
Goals Scored
| Libertad Asuncion | Home | Away | Cerro Porteno | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 77% | 63% | 76% | 80% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 45% | 25% | 35% | 44% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 23% | 8% | 14% | 8% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 23% | 38% | 24% | 20% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Libertad Asuncion | Home | Away | Cerro Porteno | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 68% | 79% | 57% | 52% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 27% | 38% | 31% | 20% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 14% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 32% | 21% | 43% | 48% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Libertad Asuncion | Cerro Porteno | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 37% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 16% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 6% |
| BTTS | 48% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Libertad Asuncion | Cerro Porteno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 59% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Libertad Asuncion (H)W
Sportivo Luqueno1–0
Sportivo Luqueno1–0D
Club Guarani2–2
Club Guarani2–2L
Olimpia0–1
Olimpia0–1D
Sportivo Ameliano1–1
Sportivo Ameliano1–1W
Rubio NU4–2
Rubio NU4–2W
Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–0
Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–0Cerro Porteno (A)WSportivo Luqueno3–0
Sportivo Luqueno3–0L
Sportivo Trinidense1–2
Sportivo Trinidense1–2DClub Guarani1–1
Club Guarani1–1W
Deportivo Recoleta3–1
Deportivo Recoleta3–1W
Resistencia1–0
Resistencia1–0LOlimpia1–2
Olimpia1–2Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
43 games
League Avg
10.0
82 games
9.4
Corners / Match
43 games
| Match Corners | Libertad Asuncion | Cerro Porteno | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 72% | 79% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 67% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 51% | 56% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 40% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 35% | 37% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 26% | 30% | 35% |
| Over 12 | 16% | 19% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 14% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Libertad Asuncion | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 84% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 65% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 49% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 72% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 53% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 47% | 51% |
Head to Head · 42 matches
16
Libertad Asuncion
38%
14
Draws
33%
12
Cerro Porteno
29%
74%
Over 1.5
31/42
40%
Over 2.5
17/42
19%
Over 3.5
8/42
60%
BTTS
25/42
30/08/26Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
1–1Libertad Asuncion21/03/26Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
2–3Cerro Porteno24/01/26Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
1–1Libertad Asuncion23/11/25Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
1–0Libertad Asuncion31/08/25Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
1–1Cerro Porteno05/04/25Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
1–0Cerro Porteno26/01/25Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2–2Libertad Asuncion28/11/24Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2–3Libertad Asuncion14/09/24Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
2–1Cerro Porteno04/05/24Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
1–3Cerro Porteno11/02/24Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
1–1Libertad Asuncion06/11/23Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
1–1Cerro Porteno26/08/23Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
1–1Libertad Asuncion02/06/23Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2–0Libertad Asuncion02/04/23Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
5–0Cerro Porteno31/10/22Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
0–0Cerro Porteno04/09/22Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
1–0Libertad Asuncion25/06/22Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
1–0Cerro Porteno17/04/22Libertad Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
4–0Libertad Asuncion03/10/21Cerro Porteno
Libertad Asuncion
0–2Cerro Porteno| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 30 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 30 |
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +12 | 30 |
| 4 |  Nacional Asuncion | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +14 | 29 |
| 5 |  2 de Mayo | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 28 |
| 6 | Club Guarani | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 25 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Sportivo Luqueno | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | -13 | 16 |
| 10 | Rubio NU | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -12 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Recoleta | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -12 | 11 |
| 12 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -19 | 4 |
Team Insights
Libertad Asuncion- ●Libertad Asuncion failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Libertad Asuncion have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Libertad Asuncion failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Libertad Asuncion have won 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Libertad Asuncion have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●63% of Libertad Asuncion's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Libertad Asuncion have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Cerro Porteno- ●Cerro Porteno have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cerro Porteno have scored 75% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Libertad AsuncionWHSportivo Luqueno1–0
Sportivo Luqueno1–0LASportivo Trinidense0–1
Sportivo Trinidense0–1DHClub Guarani2–2
Club Guarani2–2WADeportivo Recoleta2–1
Deportivo Recoleta2–1LHOlimpia0–1
Olimpia0–1DHSportivo Ameliano1–1
Sportivo Ameliano1–1–AClub Sp. San Lorenzo31/10
Club Sp. San Lorenzo31/10–HCerro Porteno08/11
Cerro Porteno08/11–HNacional Asuncion15/11
Nacional Asuncion15/11Cerro PortenoDHSportivo Ameliano2–2
Sportivo Ameliano2–2WASportivo Luqueno3–0
Sportivo Luqueno3–0LH2 de Mayo0–2
2 de Mayo0–2LASportivo Trinidense1–2
Sportivo Trinidense1–2WHRubio NU1–0
Rubio NU1–0DAClub Guarani1–1
Club Guarani1–1–AClub Sp. San Lorenzo25/10
Club Sp. San Lorenzo25/10–HOlimpia01/11
Olimpia01/11–ALibertad Asuncion08/11
Libertad Asuncion08/11Top Scorers
Libertad AsuncionL. Melgarejo17 ⚽
Elvio de Jesús Vera Brítez6 ⚽
R. Villalba4 ⚽
G. Aguilar4 ⚽
F. Carrizo4 ⚽
M. D. Espinoza Acosta3 ⚽
Cerro PortenoP. Vegetti7 ⚽
J. Morel7 ⚽
I. Aliseda7 ⚽
Pablo Vegetti6 ⚽
C. Dominguez6 ⚽
J. Iturbe5 ⚽
Cards Given
Libertad AsuncionNéstor Giménez10 🟨
Álvaro Campuzano6 🟨
Gustavo Aguilar5 🟨
Jorge Recalde4 🟨
Estiven Villalba4 🟨
Alvaro Campuzado4 🟨
Cerro PortenoMatías Pérez7 🟨
Juan Iturbe4 🟨
Cecilio Domínguez4 🟨
F. Dominguez4 🟨
Fabricio Domínguez4 🟨
A. Gamarra3 🟨