Acambaro vs Real Refineros — Liga Premier Serie A
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Acambaro and Real Refineros meet in the Liga Premier Serie A 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Acambaro have recorded 6 wins from 9 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 3.22 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Real Refineros have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.37 for Acambaro and 1.50 for Real Refineros. The models give Acambaro a 57% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Real Refineros win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Acambaro—
Real Refineros2º
Position
8º
2.11
PPG
1.25
67%
Win %
38%
3.22
Goals / game
1.75
1.11
Conceded / game
2.00
56%
BTTS %
75%
44%
Clean sheet %
25%
67%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Acambaro
Home (4)
—
Real Refineros
Away (3)
1.75
PPG
2.00
50%
Win %
67%
4.00
Goals / game
1.67
1.50
Conceded / game
1.67
75%
BTTS %
67%
25%
Clean sheet %
33%
75%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Acambaro | Home | Away | Real Refineros | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 88% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 78% | 75% | 80% | 63% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 20% | 25% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Acambaro | Home | Away | Real Refineros | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 75% | 40% | 75% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 50% | 20% | 75% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 25% | 20% | 50% | 60% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 25% | 60% | 25% | 20% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Acambaro | Real Refineros | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 | 56% | 50% |
| BTTS | 56% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Acambaro | Real Refineros | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 75% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 89% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 63% |
Recent Venue Form
Acambaro (H)W
Ciervos5–2
Ciervos5–2L
Artesanos Metepec2–3
Artesanos Metepec2–3D
Dragones de Oaxaca1–1
Dragones de Oaxaca1–1W
Cañoneros Marina8–0
Cañoneros Marina8–0D
Gorilas de Juanacatlan0–0
Gorilas de Juanacatlan0–0WGorilas de Juanacatlan1–0
Gorilas de Juanacatlan1–0Real Refineros (A)LDragones de Oaxaca2–3
Dragones de Oaxaca2–3D
Delfines Coatzacoalcos2–2
Delfines Coatzacoalcos2–2WCañoneros Marina1–0
Cañoneros Marina1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Artesanos Metepec | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 21 |
| 1 |  Acatlan | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 | Acambaro | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +19 | 20 |
| 2 |  La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 16 |
| 3 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  Mineros de Fresnillo | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 |  Vaqueros Reynosa | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |  Halcones Negros | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  Correcaminos UAT II | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 |  Guerreros del Pacifico | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 |  FC Santiago | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 14 |
| 6 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Calor de San Pedro | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Guerreros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 |  Atlético Saltillo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
| 9 |  Real Apodaca | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 10 |  Héroes de Zaci | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 2 |
| 10 | Cañoneros Marina | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -26 | 0 |
Team Insights
Acambaro- ●Acambaro have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Acambaro have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Acambaro have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Acambaro have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Acambaro have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Acambaro have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Acambaro have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Acambaro have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Acambaro have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Acambaro have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Acambaro have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Acambaro have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Acambaro's points have been earned away.
Real Refineros- ●Real Refineros have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Real Refineros failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Real Refineros failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●64% of Real Refineros's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Real Refineros's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Real Refineros have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AcambaroWACorrecaminos UAT II2–0
Correcaminos UAT II2–0WAHalcones Negros6–0
Halcones Negros6–0WHCiervos5–2
Ciervos5–2LACalor de San Pedro2–3
Calor de San Pedro2–3LHArtesanos Metepec2–3
Artesanos Metepec2–3WAGuerreros del Pacifico1–0
Guerreros del Pacifico1–0–HVaqueros Reynosa01/11
Vaqueros Reynosa01/11–AMineros de Fresnillo07/11
Mineros de Fresnillo07/11–HHéroes de Zaci15/11
Héroes de Zaci15/11Real RefinerosDHGuerreros del Pacifico3–3
Guerreros del Pacifico3–3LHHalcones Negros2–3
Halcones Negros2–3LADragones de Oaxaca2–3
Dragones de Oaxaca2–3DHCiervos3–3
Ciervos3–3DADelfines Coatzacoalcos2–2
Delfines Coatzacoalcos2–2DHCalor de San Pedro0–0
Calor de San Pedro0–0–AFC Santiago27/10
FC Santiago27/10–HGuerreros31/10
Guerreros31/10–AAcatlan07/11
Acatlan07/11Top Scorers
Acambaro17 ⚽
C. Moron2 ⚽
A. Pozos Aguilar1 ⚽
Real Refineros19 ⚽
Cards Given
Acambaro2 🟨
Real Refineros1 🟨