Real Refineros vs Atlético Saltillo — Liga Premier Serie A
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Real Refineros and Atlético Saltillo meet in the Liga Premier Serie A 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Real Refineros have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Atlético Saltillo have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.16 for Real Refineros and 1.62 for Atlético Saltillo. The models give Real Refineros a 48% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Atlético Saltillo win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Real Refineros—
Atlético Saltillo8º
Position
8º
1.25
PPG
1.13
38%
Win %
38%
1.75
Goals / game
1.50
2.00
Conceded / game
2.50
75%
BTTS %
75%
25%
Clean sheet %
13%
75%
Over 2.5 %
88%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Real Refineros
Home (5)
—
Atlético Saltillo
Away (4)
0.80
PPG
0.75
20%
Win %
25%
1.80
Goals / game
1.25
2.20
Conceded / game
2.75
80%
BTTS %
75%
20%
Clean sheet %
0%
80%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Real Refineros | Home | Away | Atlético Saltillo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 80% | 100% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 60% | 67% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 20% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Refineros | Home | Away | Atlético Saltillo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 80% | 67% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 75% | 80% | 67% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 50% | 60% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 20% | 33% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Refineros | Atlético Saltillo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS | 75% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 75% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Refineros | Atlético Saltillo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 63% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 75% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 88% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 75% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 63% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 88% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 63% | 88% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Refineros (H)D
Guerreros del Pacifico3–3
Guerreros del Pacifico3–3L
Halcones Negros2–3
Halcones Negros2–3D
Ciervos3–3
Ciervos3–3D
Calor de San Pedro0–0
Calor de San Pedro0–0L
Artesanos Metepec1–2
Artesanos Metepec1–2Atlético Saltillo (A)L
Vaqueros Reynosa1–2
Vaqueros Reynosa1–2L
Mineros de Fresnillo0–3
Mineros de Fresnillo0–3L
FC Santiago1–4
FC Santiago1–4W
Real Apodaca3–2
Real Apodaca3–2L
Leones Negros1–4
Leones Negros1–4W
Colima1–0
Colima1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Artesanos Metepec | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 21 |
| 1 |  Acatlan | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Acambaro | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +19 | 20 |
| 2 |  La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 16 |
| 3 |  Dragones de Oaxaca | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 | Vaqueros Reynosa | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 | Halcones Negros | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  Correcaminos UAT II | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 | Guerreros del Pacifico | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Santiago | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 14 |
| 6 |  Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | Calor de San Pedro | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Guerreros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Atlético Saltillo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 10 |  Héroes de Zaci | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 2 |
| 10 |  Cañoneros Marina | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -26 | 0 |
Team Insights
Real Refineros- ●Real Refineros have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Real Refineros failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Real Refineros failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●64% of Real Refineros's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Real Refineros's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Real Refineros have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Atlético Saltillo- ●Atlético Saltillo have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Atlético Saltillo have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Atlético Saltillo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Atlético Saltillo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Atlético Saltillo have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Atlético Saltillo have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atlético Saltillo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Atlético Saltillo have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Real RefinerosDHGuerreros del Pacifico3–3
Guerreros del Pacifico3–3LHHalcones Negros2–3
Halcones Negros2–3LADragones de Oaxaca2–3
Dragones de Oaxaca2–3DHCiervos3–3
Ciervos3–3DADelfines Coatzacoalcos2–2
Delfines Coatzacoalcos2–2DHCalor de San Pedro0–0
Calor de San Pedro0–0–AFC Santiago27/10
FC Santiago27/10–HGuerreros31/10
Guerreros31/10–AAcatlan07/11
Acatlan07/11Atlético SaltilloLHAcatlan2–3
Acatlan2–3LAVaqueros Reynosa1–2
Vaqueros Reynosa1–2LAMineros de Fresnillo0–3
Mineros de Fresnillo0–3DHHéroes de Zaci2–2
Héroes de Zaci2–2LAFC Santiago1–4
FC Santiago1–4WHCorrecaminos UAT II2–0
Correcaminos UAT II2–0–AArtesanos Metepec31/10
Artesanos Metepec31/10–HCiervos07/11
Ciervos07/11–AReal Refineros14/11
Real Refineros14/11Top Scorers
Real Refineros19 ⚽
Atlético Saltillo5 ⚽
I. Salvador Medina Lara2 ⚽
A. Ismael Moran Ceballos1 ⚽
Cards Given
Real Refineros1 🟨
Atlético Saltillo2 🟨