Acatlan vs Real Refineros — Liga Premier Serie A
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Acatlan and Real Refineros meet in the Liga Premier Serie A 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Acatlan have recorded 6 wins from 9 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.22 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Real Refineros have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.18 for Acatlan and 1.59 for Real Refineros. The models give Acatlan a 50% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Real Refineros win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Acatlan—
Real Refineros1º
Position
8º
2.11
PPG
1.25
67%
Win %
38%
2.22
Goals / game
1.75
1.67
Conceded / game
2.00
56%
BTTS %
75%
33%
Clean sheet %
25%
67%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Acatlan
Home (5)
—
Real Refineros
Away (3)
2.40
PPG
2.00
80%
Win %
67%
3.00
Goals / game
1.67
1.60
Conceded / game
1.67
60%
BTTS %
67%
40%
Clean sheet %
33%
80%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Acatlan | Home | Away | Real Refineros | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 75% | 88% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 80% | 25% | 63% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 44% | 60% | 25% | 25% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 25% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Acatlan | Home | Away | Real Refineros | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 60% | 75% | 75% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 40% | 50% | 75% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 40% | 25% | 50% | 60% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 40% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Acatlan | Real Refineros | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 | 44% | 50% |
| BTTS | 56% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Acatlan | Real Refineros | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 56% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 75% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 63% |
Recent Venue Form
Acatlan (H)W
Ciervos5–3
Ciervos5–3L
Mineros de Fresnillo2–4
Mineros de Fresnillo2–4W
FC Santiago1–0
FC Santiago1–0W
Real Apodaca4–1
Real Apodaca4–1W
Guerreros3–0
Guerreros3–0L
Cimarrones0–4
Cimarrones0–4Real Refineros (A)L
Dragones de Oaxaca2–3
Dragones de Oaxaca2–3D
Delfines Coatzacoalcos2–2
Delfines Coatzacoalcos2–2W
Cañoneros Marina1–0
Cañoneros Marina1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Artesanos Metepec | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 21 |
| 1 | Acatlan | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Acambaro | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +19 | 20 |
| 2 |  La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 16 |
| 3 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 |  Vaqueros Reynosa | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |  Halcones Negros | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  Correcaminos UAT II | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 |  Guerreros del Pacifico | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Santiago | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 14 |
| 6 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Calor de San Pedro | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 7 | Guerreros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 |  Atlético Saltillo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 10 |  Héroes de Zaci | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 2 |
| 10 | Cañoneros Marina | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -26 | 0 |
Team Insights
Acatlan- ●Acatlan have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Acatlan have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Acatlan have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Acatlan have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Acatlan have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Acatlan have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●75% of Acatlan's goals have been scored at home.
Real Refineros- ●Real Refineros have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Real Refineros failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Real Refineros failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●64% of Real Refineros's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Real Refineros's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Real Refineros have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AcatlanWHCiervos5–3
Ciervos5–3WAAtlético Saltillo3–2
Atlético Saltillo3–2LHMineros de Fresnillo2–4
Mineros de Fresnillo2–4WAHéroes de Zaci1–0
Héroes de Zaci1–0WHFC Santiago1–0
FC Santiago1–0DACorrecaminos UAT II1–1
Correcaminos UAT II1–1–ACañoneros Marina31/10
Cañoneros Marina31/10–HReal Refineros07/11
Real Refineros07/11–AHalcones Negros15/11
Halcones Negros15/11Real RefinerosDHGuerreros del Pacifico3–3
Guerreros del Pacifico3–3LHHalcones Negros2–3
Halcones Negros2–3LADragones de Oaxaca2–3
Dragones de Oaxaca2–3DHCiervos3–3
Ciervos3–3DADelfines Coatzacoalcos2–2
Delfines Coatzacoalcos2–2DHCalor de San Pedro0–0
Calor de San Pedro0–0–AFC Santiago27/10
FC Santiago27/10–HGuerreros31/10
Guerreros31/10–AAcatlan07/11
Acatlan07/11Top Scorers
Acatlan9 ⚽
A. Cuevas1 ⚽
D. Guareno1 ⚽
E. Vallejo1 ⚽
J. Arias1 ⚽
Real Refineros19 ⚽
Cards Given
AcatlanReal Refineros1 🟨