FC Santiago vs Real Refineros — Liga Premier Serie A
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FC Santiago and Real Refineros meet in the Liga Premier Serie A 2026 season on 27 October 2026. FC Santiago have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Real Refineros have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.16 for FC Santiago and 1.28 for Real Refineros. The models give FC Santiago a 59% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Real Refineros win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
FC Santiago—
Real Refineros6º
Position
8º
1.63
PPG
1.25
50%
Win %
38%
1.75
Goals / game
1.75
0.88
Conceded / game
2.00
25%
BTTS %
75%
38%
Clean sheet %
25%
50%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
FC Santiago
Home (4)
—
Real Refineros
Away (3)
2.50
PPG
2.00
75%
Win %
67%
3.00
Goals / game
1.67
0.75
Conceded / game
1.67
50%
BTTS %
67%
50%
Clean sheet %
33%
100%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| FC Santiago | Home | Away | Real Refineros | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 100% | 25% | 88% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 100% | 25% | 63% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 75% | 0% | 25% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 0% | 75% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Santiago | Home | Away | Real Refineros | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 50% | 75% | 75% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 75% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 60% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Santiago | Real Refineros | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 50% |
| BTTS | 25% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Santiago | Real Refineros | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 75% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 63% |
Recent Venue Form
FC Santiago (H)W
Real Apodaca3–0
Real Apodaca3–0D
Guerreros2–2
Guerreros2–2W
Atlético Saltillo4–1
Atlético Saltillo4–1W
Héroes de Zaci3–0
Héroes de Zaci3–0L
Zacatepec 19482–3
Zacatepec 19482–3W
Ciervos5–0
Ciervos5–0Real Refineros (A)L
Dragones de Oaxaca2–3
Dragones de Oaxaca2–3D
Delfines Coatzacoalcos2–2
Delfines Coatzacoalcos2–2W
Cañoneros Marina1–0
Cañoneros Marina1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Artesanos Metepec | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 21 |
| 1 |  Acatlan | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Acambaro | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +19 | 20 |
| 2 |  La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 16 |
| 3 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  Mineros de Fresnillo | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 |  Vaqueros Reynosa | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |  Halcones Negros | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |  Correcaminos UAT II | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 5 |  Guerreros del Pacifico | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Santiago | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 14 |
| 6 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Calor de San Pedro | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 7 | Guerreros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Atlético Saltillo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 8 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -19 | 5 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 10 | Héroes de Zaci | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 2 |
| 10 | Cañoneros Marina | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -26 | 0 |
Team Insights
FC Santiago- ●FC Santiago have won their last 2 matches.
- ●FC Santiago have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●FC Santiago have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●FC Santiago have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●FC Santiago have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●86% of FC Santiago's goals have been scored at home.
- ●77% of FC Santiago's points have been earned at home.
Real Refineros- ●Real Refineros have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Real Refineros failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Refineros have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Real Refineros failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●64% of Real Refineros's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Real Refineros's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Real Refineros have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
FC SantiagoWHReal Apodaca3–0
Real Apodaca3–0WALa Tribu de Cd. Juarez2–0
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez2–0DHGuerreros2–2
Guerreros2–2LAAcatlan0–1
Acatlan0–1WHAtlético Saltillo4–1
Atlético Saltillo4–1LAMineros de Fresnillo0–2
Mineros de Fresnillo0–2–HReal Refineros27/10
Real Refineros27/10–ACiervos31/10
Ciervos31/10–HHalcones Negros07/11
Halcones Negros07/11Real RefinerosDHGuerreros del Pacifico3–3
Guerreros del Pacifico3–3LHHalcones Negros2–3
Halcones Negros2–3LADragones de Oaxaca2–3
Dragones de Oaxaca2–3DHCiervos3–3
Ciervos3–3DADelfines Coatzacoalcos2–2
Delfines Coatzacoalcos2–2DHCalor de San Pedro0–0
Calor de San Pedro0–0–AFC Santiago27/10
FC Santiago27/10–HGuerreros31/10
Guerreros31/10–AAcatlan07/11
Acatlan07/11Top Scorers
FC SantiagoF. Salas1 ⚽
P. Sanchez1 ⚽
Real Refineros19 ⚽
Cards Given
FC Santiago1 🟨
Real Refineros1 🟨