MOIK vs Səbail — Birinci Dasta
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MOIK and Səbail meet in the Birinci Dasta 2026 season on 19 November 2026. MOIK have recorded 4 wins from 6 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Səbail have won 50% of their 6 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for MOIK and 1.16 for Səbail. The models give MOIK a 41% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Səbail win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
MOIK
SəbailHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| MOIK | Home | Away | Səbail | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 75% | 100% | 83% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 50% | 100% | 33% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 25% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| MOIK | Home | Away | Səbail | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 75% | 50% | 83% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 25% | 50% | 17% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| MOIK | Səbail | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| MOIK | Səbail | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 67% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 17% | 83% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 17% |
| Win 2nd Half | 67% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 67% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 83% | 0% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 17% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
MOIK (H)
Karvan3–1
Mingəçevir3–0
Şimal1–1
Şahdağ0–1
Difai Ağsu4–0Şahdağ0–1Səbail (A)Şahdağ0–1
Zaqatala3–1
Baku Sportinq1–0
Xankəndi FK1–1Mingəçevir1–4Zaqatala3–0Head to Head · 6 matches
MOIKSəbailMOIKSəbailSəbailMOIK| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cəbrayıl | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 15 |
| 2 | Şahdağ | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 3 | MOIK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 13 |
| 4 | Səbail | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 5 | Karvan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Şimal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 | Xankəndi FK | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | Mingəçevir | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 9 | Zaqatala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -15 | 4 |
| 10 | Baku Sportinq | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Team Insights
MOIK- ●MOIK have won their last 4 matches.
- ●MOIK have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●MOIK have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●MOIK have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●MOIK have won their last 2 away matches.
Səbail- ●62% of Səbail's goals have been scored away.
- ●64% of Səbail's points have been earned away.
- ●Səbail have scored 100% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MOIKKarvan3–1Baku Sportinq3–1Mingəçevir3–0Xankəndi FK2–0Şimal1–1Şahdağ0–1Zaqatala05/11Səbail19/11Cəbrayıl25/11SəbailŞahdağ0–1Zaqatala3–1Karvan1–1Baku Sportinq1–0Mingəçevir2–1Xankəndi FK1–1Cəbrayıl05/11MOIK19/11Şimal25/11Top Scorers
MOIKSəbailCards Given
MOIKSəbail