BG Pathum United vs Home United — AFC Champions League Two
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BG Pathum United and Home United meet in the AFC Champions League Two 2026 season on 26 November 2026. BG Pathum United have recorded 3 wins from 12 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Home United have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.86 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for BG Pathum United and 1.26 for Home United. The models give BG Pathum United a 38% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Home United win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
BG Pathum UnitedHome UnitedHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| BG Pathum | Home | Away | Home United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 83% | 67% | 86% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 33% | 33% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 17% | 33% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| BG Pathum | Home | Away | Home United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 83% | 67% | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 67% | 17% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 17% | 33% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| BG Pathum | Home United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 14% |
| BTTS | 58% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 43% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| BG Pathum | Home United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 57% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 14% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
BG Pathum (H)
Chiangrai United2–0
Adelaide United1–2
Ayutthaya FC1–1
Rasi Salai United3–2
Aston Villa1–3
Buriram United0–3Home United (A)
Albirex Niigata S2–0
Wofoo Tai Po1–0
Hougang United2–2
Xerez Deportivo1–1
Tampines Rovers2–3Tampines Rovers0–0Number of Corners
| Match Corners | BG Pathum | Home United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 100% | 72% |
| Over 7 | 50% | 100% | 61% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 100% | 39% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 100% | 28% |
| Over 10 | 17% | 100% | 22% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 100% | 11% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | BG Pathum | Home United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 9.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
BG Pathum UnitedHome United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 1 |  Phnom Penh Crown | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 1 |  Al Shorta | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 1 |  Al Wahda FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 1 | Adelaide United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 1 |  Persib Bandung | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 1 |  Al-Jazira | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 1 |  Al Taawon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 | Home United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 2 |  Melbourne Victory | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 2 |  Al Hussein | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 2 |  Al-Rayyan SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Al Kuwait | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Arkadag | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Kitchee | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 |  Al Faisaly | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Muharraq | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Kuching FA | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 3 | BG Pathum United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 3 |  East Bengal | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 3 |  Viettel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 3 |  Nasaf | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 3 |  Svay Rieng | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Khalidiya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Gangwon FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 |  Al-Nahda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Gol Gohar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 |  Al Seeb | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 4 | Wofoo Tai Po | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 4 | Tampines Rovers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 |  FC Seoul | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Season Schedule
BG PathumAdelaide United1–2Home United1–1Wofoo Tai Po29/10Wofoo Tai Po05/11Home United26/11Home UnitedWofoo Tai Po1–0BG Pathum United1–1Adelaide United29/10Adelaide United05/11BG Pathum United26/11Top Scorers
BG PathumHome UnitedCards Given
BG PathumHome United