Pakhtakor vs Esteghlal FC — AFC Champions League Elite
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
From€8.99/Mo
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
Pakhtakor and Esteghlal FC meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 8 February 2027. Pakhtakor have recorded 18 wins from 38 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Esteghlal FC have won 57% of their 14 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 0.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 21%, and clean sheets at 64%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for Pakhtakor and 1.49 for Esteghlal FC. The models give Pakhtakor a 43% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Esteghlal FC win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Pakhtakor—
Esteghlal FC14º
Position
3º
0.50
PPG
2.25
0%
Win %
75%
1.00
Goals / game
1.50
2.25
Conceded / game
0.75
61%
BTTS %
29%
26%
Clean sheet %
64%
45%
Over 2.5 %
21%
7.3
Avg corners
2.5
16.0
Avg shots
10.0
3.3
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.0
9.3
Avg fouls
12.3
51.0%
Avg possession
43.5%
Home vs Away
Pakhtakor
Home (2)
—
Esteghlal FC
Away (2)
0.50
PPG
1.50
0%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
1.00
3.50
Conceded / game
1.50
72%
BTTS %
43%
22%
Clean sheet %
43%
67%
Over 2.5 %
14%
7.3
Avg corners
2.5
16.0
Avg shots
10.0
3.3
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.0
51.0%
Avg possession
43.5%
Goals Scored
| Pakhtakor | Home | Away | Esteghlal FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 89% | 75% | 79% | 100% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 67% | 25% | 29% | 43% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 33% | 10% | 14% | 29% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 11% | 25% | 21% | 0% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Pakhtakor | Home | Away | Esteghlal FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 78% | 70% | 36% | 14% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 39% | 15% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 22% | 30% | 64% | 86% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pakhtakor | Esteghlal FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 21% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 7% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS | 61% | 29% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 7% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pakhtakor | Esteghlal FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 26% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 34% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 7% |
Recent Venue Form
Pakhtakor (H)L
Al-Nassr2–6
Al-Nassr2–6L
Neftchi1–3
Neftchi1–3D
Al-Qadisiyah FC1–1
Al-Qadisiyah FC1–1W
Bunyodkor3–1
Bunyodkor3–1W
Andijan3–0
Andijan3–0D
Surkhon0–0
Surkhon0–0Esteghlal FC (A)L
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai0–2
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai0–2D
Chadormalu SC1–1
Chadormalu SC1–1W
Al-Gharafa2–1
Al-Gharafa2–1D
Tractor Sazi1–1
Tractor Sazi1–1D
Aluminium Arak0–0
Aluminium Arak0–0D
Foolad FC0–0
Foolad FC0–0Number of Corners
12.7
Corners / Match
3 games
League Avg
9.0
58 games
7.8
Corners / Match
4 games
| Match Corners | Pakhtakor | Esteghlal FC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 75% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 25% | 59% |
| Over 8 | 100% | 25% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 100% | 25% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 100% | 25% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 100% | 25% | 28% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 25% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 25% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Pakhtakor | Esteghlal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.3 | 2.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 75% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Pakhtakor
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Esteghlal FC
0%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
25/11/24Pakhtakor
Esteghlal FC
0–0Pakhtakor26/09/20Esteghlal FC
Pakhtakor
2–1Esteghlal FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 12 |
| 1 |  Vissel Kobe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Kashima | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 9 |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 | Esteghlal FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Gamba Osaka | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 4 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 5 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 6 |  Kyoto Sanga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 |  Johor Darul Takzim FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 | Al-Nassr | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 8 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Al Shamal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 9 |  Beijing Guoan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Neftchi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 |  Daejeon Citizen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Công An Nhân Dân | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 |  Al-Wasl FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Port FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Buriram United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Tractor Sazi | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Pakhtakor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 14 |  Ratchaburi | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 15 |  Al Sadd | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 15 |  Pohang Steelers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -13 | 0 |
| 16 | Al-Gharafa | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Team Insights
Pakhtakor- ●Pakhtakor have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●78% of Pakhtakor's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Esteghlal FC- ●Esteghlal FC have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Esteghlal FC have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
Season Schedule
PakhtakorLHAl-Nassr2–6
Al-Nassr2–6LAAl Quwa Al Jawiya0–1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya0–1DHAl-Qadisiyah FC1–1
Al-Qadisiyah FC1–1DAAl-Ahli Jeddah1–1
Al-Ahli Jeddah1–1WH
Al Hussein3–0
Al Hussein3–0–AAl-Ittihad FC23/11
Al-Ittihad FC23/11–HTractor Sazi07/12
Tractor Sazi07/12–HEsteghlal FC08/02
Esteghlal FC08/02Esteghlal FCWHAl Shamal1–0
Al Shamal1–0LAShabab Al Ahli Dubai0–2
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai0–2WAAl-Gharafa2–1
Al-Gharafa2–1WHAl Sadd3–0
Al Sadd3–0–AAl Ain23/11
Al Ain23/11–HNeftchi07/12
Neftchi07/12–APakhtakor08/02
Pakhtakor08/02Top Scorers
PakhtakorD. Khamdamov12 ⚽
Flamarion7 ⚽
B. Resan4 ⚽
R. Turdimurodov4 ⚽
S. Chinedu3 ⚽
Z. Tahseen3 ⚽
Esteghlal FCJ. Asani5 ⚽
E. Gholizadeh4 ⚽
S. Saharkhizan4 ⚽
Jasir Asani2 ⚽
M. Azadi1 ⚽
M. Eslami1 ⚽
Cards Given
PakhtakorZ. Tahseen8 🟨
S. Sobirkhuzhaev5 🟨
A. Buriev4 🟨
I. Ibrokhimov4 🟨
K. Alizhonov4 🟨
A. Mozgovoy3 🟨
Esteghlal FCA. Razzaghinia3 🟨
S. Hardani3 🟨
A. Koushki2 🟨
A. Aghasi2 🟨
H. Goudarzi2 🟨
Esmaeil Gholizadeh1 🟨