Beijing Guoan vs Ratchaburi — AFC Champions League Elite
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Beijing Guoan and Ratchaburi meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 1 December 2026. Beijing Guoan have recorded 20 wins from 37 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 2.05 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Ratchaburi have won 38% of their 13 matches, with 2.15 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.88 for Beijing Guoan and 1.58 for Ratchaburi. The models give Beijing Guoan a 48% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Ratchaburi win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Beijing Guoan | Home | Away | Ratchaburi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 95% | 100% | 90% | 85% | 86% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 65% | 60% | 46% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 35% | 35% | 35% | 31% | 43% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 5% | 0% | 10% | 15% | 14% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Beijing Guoan | Home | Away | Ratchaburi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 71% | 60% | 77% | 57% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 41% | 41% | 40% | 46% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 29% | 40% | 23% | 43% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Beijing Guoan | Ratchaburi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 38% |
| BTTS | 65% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Beijing Guoan | Ratchaburi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 49% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 24% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 81% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Beijing Guoan | Ratchaburi | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 81% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 100% | 62% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 100% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 59% | 86% | 46% |
| Over 10 | 47% | 86% | 42% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 29% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 29% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 16% | 14% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Beijing Guoan | Ratchaburi |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 5.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 5.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 78% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 78% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 47% | 71% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 12 | |
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 9 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | |
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | |
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 | |
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 | |
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 | |
| 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 | |
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 | |
| 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 | |
| 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 | |
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 | |
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 | |
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 0 | |
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 0 | |
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Team Insights
- ●70% of Beijing Guoan's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Ratchaburi have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Ratchaburi have lost their last 2 away matches.