Al-Nassr vs Al Sadd — AFC Champions League Elite
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Al-Nassr and Al Sadd meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 24 November 2026. Al-Nassr have recorded 12 wins from 20 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Al Sadd have won 63% of their 16 matches, with 2.81 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.20 for Al-Nassr and 1.86 for Al Sadd. The models give Al-Nassr a 49% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Al Sadd win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Al-Nassr—
Al Sadd8º
Position
16º
1.50
PPG
0.00
50%
Win %
0%
1.50
Goals / game
0.00
2.50
Conceded / game
2.50
60%
BTTS %
75%
30%
Clean sheet %
13%
80%
Over 2.5 %
88%
7.7
Avg corners
5.9
15.8
Avg shots
17.3
5.5
Avg shots on target
6.4
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.1
12.2
Avg fouls
13.7
55.6%
Avg possession
60.0%
Home vs Away
Al-Nassr
Home (1)
—
Al Sadd
Away (1)
3.00
PPG
0.00
100%
Win %
0%
3.00
Goals / game
0.00
1.00
Conceded / game
3.00
60%
BTTS %
67%
30%
Clean sheet %
22%
80%
Over 2.5 %
89%
7.7
Avg corners
5.9
15.8
Avg shots
17.3
5.5
Avg shots on target
6.4
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.1
55.6%
Avg possession
60.0%
Goals Scored
| Al-Nassr | Home | Away | Al Sadd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 90% | 90% | 88% | 86% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 65% | 70% | 60% | 69% | 86% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 35% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 43% | 56% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Al-Nassr | Home | Away | Al Sadd | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 70% | 70% | 88% | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 30% | 50% | 63% | 57% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 38% | 29% | 44% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 30% | 30% | 13% | 0% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Al-Nassr | Al Sadd | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 56% |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Al-Nassr | Al Sadd | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 68% | 69% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 58% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 6% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 79% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 37% | 88% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 69% |
Recent Venue Form
Al-Nassr (H)W
NEOM1–0
NEOM1–0W
Neftchi3–1
Neftchi3–1W
Al Diriyah3–0
Al Diriyah3–0W
Abha2–1
Abha2–1W
Al Taawon2–1
Al Taawon2–1W
Al-Fateh3–0
Al-Fateh3–0Al Sadd (A)W
Al Shahaniya4–0
Al Shahaniya4–0L
Esteghlal FC0–3
Esteghlal FC0–3W
Al-Sailiya6–3
Al-Sailiya6–3W
Qatar SC6–2
Qatar SC6–2W
Trabzonspor1–0
Trabzonspor1–0L
Sigma Olomouc1–2
Sigma Olomouc1–2Number of Corners
11.2
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.1
29 games
9.7
Corners / Match
7 games
| Match Corners | Al-Nassr | Al Sadd | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 86% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 71% | 59% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 71% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 75% | 57% | 45% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 43% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 43% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 29% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 14% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Al-Nassr | Al Sadd |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.7 | 5.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 92% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 83% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 43% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
3
Al-Nassr
43%
2
Draws
29%
2
Al Sadd
29%
100%
Over 1.5
7/7
86%
Over 2.5
6/7
43%
Over 3.5
3/7
100%
BTTS
7/7
02/12/24Al Sadd
Al-Nassr
1–2Al Sadd29/04/21Al-Nassr
Al Sadd
1–2Al-Nassr17/04/21Al Sadd
Al-Nassr
3–1Al Sadd21/09/20Al-Nassr
Al Sadd
1–1Al-Nassr11/02/20Al Sadd
Al-Nassr
2–2Al Sadd16/09/19Al-Nassr
Al Sadd
3–1Al-Nassr26/08/19Al Sadd
Al-Nassr
2–1Al Sadd| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 1 |  Kashima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 | Esteghlal FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 |  Gamba Osaka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 3 |  Vissel Kobe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beijing Guoan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 |  Johor Darul Takzim FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Daejeon Citizen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Neftchi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 8 | Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Kyoto Sanga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 |  Buriram United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Tractor Sazi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Ratchaburi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 13 |  Công An Nhân Dân | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 |  Al-Gharafa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Pohang Steelers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 |  Port FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 15 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Sadd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 |
Season Schedule
Al-NassrWHNeftchi3–1
Neftchi3–1LAAl Ain0–4
Al Ain0–4–HAl-Wasl FC26/10
Al-Wasl FC26/10–APakhtakor02/11
Pakhtakor02/11–HAl Sadd24/11
Al Sadd24/11Al SaddLHAl-Hilal Saudi FC0–2
Al-Hilal Saudi FC0–2LAEsteghlal FC0–3
Esteghlal FC0–3–AAl-Qadisiyah FC26/10
Al-Qadisiyah FC26/10–HAl-Ahli Jeddah02/11
Al-Ahli Jeddah02/11–AAl-Nassr24/11
Al-Nassr24/11Top Scorers
Al-NassrJoao Felix4 ⚽
Cristiano Ronaldo4 ⚽
Abdullah Al-Hamdan3 ⚽
Angelo Borges3 ⚽
Angelo3 ⚽
Samu Costa3 ⚽
Al SaddRoberto Firmino9 ⚽
R. Mujica7 ⚽
Akram Afif5 ⚽
A. Afif5 ⚽
Claudinho3 ⚽
J. Dilrosun2 ⚽
Cards Given
Al-NassrJoao Felix4 🟨
Samu Costa4 🟨
Saad Fahad Al Nasser2 🟨
Bento2 🟨
M. Simakan2 🟨
M. Brozovic2 🟨
Al SaddT. Salman3 🟨
Roberto Firmino3 🟨
Claudinho3 🟨
Paulo Otavio3 🟨
R. Mujica2 🟨
Agustin soria2 🟨