Al Ain vs Esteghlal FC — AFC Champions League Elite
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Al Ain and Esteghlal FC meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 23 November 2026. Al Ain have recorded 9 wins from 16 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 2.38 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Esteghlal FC have won 57% of their 14 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 0.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 21%, and clean sheets at 64%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.23 for Al Ain and 1.14 for Esteghlal FC. The models give Al Ain a 57% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Esteghlal FC win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Al Ain—
Esteghlal FC1º
Position
3º
3.00
PPG
2.25
100%
Win %
75%
3.50
Goals / game
1.50
0.75
Conceded / game
0.75
69%
BTTS %
29%
25%
Clean sheet %
64%
75%
Over 2.5 %
21%
5.4
Avg corners
2.5
19.5
Avg shots
10.0
6.9
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.4
Avg yellow cards
2.0
12.6
Avg fouls
12.3
52.1%
Avg possession
43.5%
Home vs Away
Al Ain
Home (2)
—
Esteghlal FC
Away (2)
3.00
PPG
1.50
100%
Win %
50%
3.00
Goals / game
1.00
0.50
Conceded / game
1.50
71%
BTTS %
43%
29%
Clean sheet %
43%
86%
Over 2.5 %
14%
5.4
Avg corners
2.5
19.5
Avg shots
10.0
6.9
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.4
Avg yellow cards
2.0
52.1%
Avg possession
43.5%
Goals Scored
| Al Ain | Home | Away | Esteghlal FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 89% | 79% | 100% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 94% | 100% | 89% | 29% | 43% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 14% | 33% | 14% | 29% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 6% | 0% | 11% | 21% | 0% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Al Ain | Home | Away | Esteghlal FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 71% | 78% | 36% | 14% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 43% | 56% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 14% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 29% | 22% | 64% | 86% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Al Ain | Esteghlal FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 21% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 7% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS | 69% | 29% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 69% | 7% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Al Ain | Esteghlal FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 88% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 69% | 7% |
Recent Venue Form
Al Ain (H)W
Tractor Sazi2–1
Tractor Sazi2–1D
Al-Ittihad Kalba2–2
Al-Ittihad Kalba2–2L
Ajman2–3
Ajman2–3W
Al-Nassr4–0
Al-Nassr4–0D
Al-Wasl FC2–2
Al-Wasl FC2–2W
Al Nasr2–1
Al Nasr2–1Esteghlal FC (A)L
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai0–2
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai0–2D
Chadormalu SC1–1
Chadormalu SC1–1W
Al-Gharafa2–1
Al-Gharafa2–1DTractor Sazi1–1
Tractor Sazi1–1D
Aluminium Arak0–0
Aluminium Arak0–0D
Foolad FC0–0
Foolad FC0–0Number of Corners
9.5
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.0
58 games
7.8
Corners / Match
4 games
| Match Corners | Al Ain | Esteghlal FC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 75% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 25% | 59% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 25% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 75% | 25% | 43% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 25% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 25% | 28% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 25% | 14% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 25% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Al Ain | Esteghlal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 2.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.1 | 5.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 63% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 25% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 75% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
1
Al Ain
17%
3
Draws
50%
2
Esteghlal FC
33%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
50%
Over 2.5
3/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
83%
BTTS
5/6
20/05/19Esteghlal FC
Al Ain
1–2Esteghlal FC12/03/19Al Ain
Esteghlal FC
1–1Al Ain12/03/18Al Ain
Esteghlal FC
1–1Al Ain06/03/18Esteghlal FC
Al Ain
2–2Esteghlal FC29/05/17Esteghlal FC
Al Ain
6–1Esteghlal FC22/05/17Al Ain
Esteghlal FC
1–0Al Ain| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 12 |
| 1 |  Vissel Kobe | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Kashima | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 9 |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 | Esteghlal FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Gamba Osaka | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 4 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 8 |
| 5 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 6 |  Kyoto Sanga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 |  Johor Darul Takzim FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 7 | Al-Nassr | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 8 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Al Shamal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 9 |  Beijing Guoan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  Neftchi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 |  Daejeon Citizen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Công An Nhân Dân | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Al-Wasl FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Port FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 12 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Buriram United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Tractor Sazi | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 |  Pakhtakor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 14 |  Ratchaburi | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 15 |  Al Sadd | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 2 |
| 15 |  Pohang Steelers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -13 | 0 |
| 16 | Al-Gharafa | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Team Insights
Al Ain- ●Al Ain have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Al Ain have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Al Ain have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Al Ain have won their last 2 away matches.
Esteghlal FC- ●Esteghlal FC have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Esteghlal FC have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
Season Schedule
Al AinWAAl-Ittihad FC4–1
Al-Ittihad FC4–1WHTractor Sazi2–1
Tractor Sazi2–1WAAl Quwa Al Jawiya4–1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya4–1WHAl-Nassr4–0
Al-Nassr4–0–HEsteghlal FC23/11
Esteghlal FC23/11–AAl-Hilal Saudi FC07/12
Al-Hilal Saudi FC07/12–HAl-Qadisiyah FC08/02
Al-Qadisiyah FC08/02Esteghlal FCWHAl Shamal1–0
Al Shamal1–0LAShabab Al Ahli Dubai0–2
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai0–2WAAl-Gharafa2–1
Al-Gharafa2–1WHAl Sadd3–0
Al Sadd3–0–AAl Ain23/11
Al Ain23/11–HNeftchi07/12
Neftchi07/12–APakhtakor08/02
Pakhtakor08/02Top Scorers
Al AinHoussine Rahimi5 ⚽
G. Giakoumakis4 ⚽
E. H. Rahimi4 ⚽
S. Rahimi3 ⚽
Abdoul Karim Traoré2 ⚽
Alejandro Romero Gamarra2 ⚽
Esteghlal FCJ. Asani5 ⚽
E. Gholizadeh4 ⚽
S. Saharkhizan4 ⚽
Jasir Asani2 ⚽
M. Azadi1 ⚽
M. Eslami1 ⚽
Cards Given
Al Ain5 🟨
Alejandro Romero Gamarra2 🟨
Abdoul Karim Traoré2 🟨
T. Gijselhart2 🟨
G. Giakoumakis1 🟨
Djordje Skoko1 🟨
Esteghlal FCA. Razzaghinia3 🟨
S. Hardani3 🟨
A. Koushki2 🟨
A. Aghasi2 🟨
H. Goudarzi2 🟨
Esmaeil Gholizadeh1 🟨