International · AFC Champions League Elite · League Phase - 5

Neftchi

9º · 1.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 20d 21h

–

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

7º · 2.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 19d 19h

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Neftchi and Al-Hilal Saudi FC meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 23 November 2026. Neftchi have recorded 24 wins from 39 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 2.03 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 72%; and clean sheets in 41% of games. Al-Hilal Saudi FC have won 78% of their 23 matches, with 2.30 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 43%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Neftchi and 1.89 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC. The models give Neftchi a 32% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Al-Hilal Saudi FC win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 63%.

Season Statistics

Neftchi

—

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

9º

Position

7º

1.00

PPG

2.00

25%

Win %

67%

1.25

Goals / game

1.67

1.75

Conceded / game

1.33

51%

BTTS %

48%

41%

Clean sheet %

43%

72%

Over 2.5 %

57%

6.5

Avg corners

6.7

12.0

Avg shots

18.4

3.8

Avg shots on target

6.6

2.5

Avg yellow cards

1.1

12.3

Avg fouls

11.1

48.5%

Avg possession

57.8%

Home vs Away

Neftchi

Home (2)

—

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Away (2)

1.50

PPG

1.50

50%

Win %

50%

1.00

Goals / game

1.50

1.00

Conceded / game

1.50

56%

BTTS %

50%

39%

Clean sheet %

50%

78%

Over 2.5 %

58%

6.5

Avg corners

6.7

12.0

Avg shots

18.4

3.8

Avg shots on target

6.6

2.5

Avg yellow cards

1.1

48.5%

Avg possession

57.8%

Goals Scored

	Neftchi	Home	Away	Al-Hilal Saudi	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	87%	94%	81%	92%	83%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	62%	67%	57%	71%	75%	67%
Over 2.5 Scored	33%	39%	29%	38%	42%	33%
Failed To Score	13%	6%	19%	8%	17%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Neftchi	Home	Away	Al-Hilal Saudi	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	59%	61%	57%	54%	58%	50%
Over 1.5 Conceded	28%	22%	33%	29%	42%	17%
Over 2.5 Conceded	15%	6%	24%	8%	8%	8%
Clean Sheets	41%	39%	43%	46%	42%	50%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Neftchi	Al-Hilal Saudi
Over 0.5	95%	100%
Over 1.5	79%	88%
Over 2.5	72%	54%
Over 3.5	41%	33%
Over 4.5	23%	29%
BTTS	51%	46%
BTTS & Win	26%	33%
BTTS & Draw	8%	8%
BTTS & Over 2.5	49%	42%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	23%	13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Neftchi	Al-Hilal Saudi
Win 1st Half	34%	67%
Draw 1st Half	34%	25%
Loss 1st Half	32%	8%
Scored 1st Half	55%	83%
Conceded 1st Half	47%	38%
Win 2nd Half	61%	46%
Draw 2nd Half	26%	38%
Loss 2nd Half	13%	17%
Scored 2nd Half	71%	67%
Conceded 2nd Half	29%	38%
Over 0.5 HT	79%	92%
Over 1.5 HT	47%	50%

Recent Venue Form

Neftchi (H)

Al-Ittihad FC1–2

Lokomotiv2–4

Xorazm2–2

Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–0

Surkhon2–1

Pakhtakor1–0

Al-Hilal Saudi (A)

Al Shamal1–3

Al-Qadisiyah FC3–2

Al Sadd2–0

Al Taawon6–0

Al Shabab2–0

Al Khaleej Saihat5–1

Number of Corners

11.3

Corners / Match

4 games

League Avg

9.2

50 games

9.9

Corners / Match

14 games

Match Corners	Neftchi	Al-Hilal Saudi	League Avg
Over 6	100%	71%	78%
Over 7	100%	64%	62%
Over 8	100%	50%	58%
Over 9	100%	50%	46%
Over 10	50%	36%	42%
Over 11	50%	36%	30%
Over 12	25%	29%	14%
Over 13	0%	21%	8%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Neftchi	Al-Hilal Saudi
Corners Earned / Match	6.5	6.7
Corners Against / Match	4.8	3.2
Over 2.5 Corners For	100%	79%
Over 3.5 Corners For	100%	71%
Over 4.5 Corners For	75%	57%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	100%	64%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	50%	57%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	50%	14%

AFC Champions League Elite

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ain	4	4	0	0	+11	12
1	Kashima	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Vissel Kobe	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Al-Qadisiyah FC	4	2	2	0	+6	8
3	Gamba Osaka	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Al-Ahli Jeddah	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Johor Darul Takzim FC	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Beijing Guoan	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Al-Nassr	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Esteghlal FC	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Kyoto Sanga	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Kashiwa Reysol	3	1	1	1	+3	4
8	Al Shamal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	SHANGHAI SIPG	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Daejeon Citizen	3	1	1	1	0	4
9	Neftchi	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Al-Ittihad FC	4	1	1	2	-3	4
10	Jeonbuk Motors	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Công An Nhân Dân	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Al-Wasl FC	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	4	1	0	3	-4	3
12	Buriram United	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Tractor Sazi	4	0	2	2	-2	2
13	Ratchaburi	3	0	1	2	-3	1
14	Pakhtakor	4	0	2	2	-5	2
14	Pohang Steelers	3	0	0	3	-7	0
15	Al Sadd	4	0	2	2	-5	2
15	Port FC	3	0	0	3	-8	0
16	Newcastle Jets	3	0	0	3	-11	0
16	Al-Gharafa	4	0	0	4	-8	0