Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr — AFC Champions League Elite
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Pakhtakor and Al-Nassr meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Pakhtakor have recorded 17 wins from 35 matches this season (49% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Al-Nassr have won 60% of their 20 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Pakhtakor and 1.52 for Al-Nassr. The models give Pakhtakor a 47% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Al-Nassr win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Pakhtakor
Al-NassrHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pakhtakor | Home | Away | Al-Nassr | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 88% | 78% | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 65% | 28% | 65% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 35% | 11% | 35% | 30% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 12% | 22% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Pakhtakor | Home | Away | Al-Nassr | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 76% | 72% | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 35% | 17% | 40% | 30% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 12% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 24% | 28% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pakhtakor | Al-Nassr | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 10% |
| BTTS | 63% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pakhtakor | Al-Nassr | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 68% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 26% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 58% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 16% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 79% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 37% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Pakhtakor (H)
Neftchi1–3
Al-Qadisiyah FC1–1
Bunyodkor3–1
Andijan3–0
Surkhon0–0
Al Hussein3–0Al-Nassr (A)
Al-Faisaly FC3–1
Al Ain0–4
Al Khaleej Saihat1–1
Al-Ittihad FC1–2
Al-Ettifaq3–2
Al Riyadh4–0Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Pakhtakor | Al-Nassr | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 83% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 83% | 59% |
| Over 8 | 100% | 75% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 100% | 75% | 45% |
| Over 10 | 100% | 50% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 100% | 50% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 33% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 33% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Pakhtakor | Al-Nassr |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 7.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.0 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 92% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 25% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 1 |  Kashima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Esteghlal FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 |  Gamba Osaka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 3 |  Vissel Kobe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beijing Guoan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 |  Johor Darul Takzim FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Daejeon Citizen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Neftchi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 8 | Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Kyoto Sanga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 |  Buriram United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Al-Ittihad FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Tractor Sazi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Ratchaburi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 13 |  Công An Nhân Dân | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 |  Al-Gharafa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Pohang Steelers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 |  Port FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 15 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 |  Al Sadd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 |
Team Insights
Pakhtakor- ●Pakhtakor have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
Al-Nassr—
Season Schedule
PakhtakorAl-Qadisiyah FC1–1Al-Ahli Jeddah1–1Al Hussein3–0Al Quwa Al Jawiya26/10Al-Nassr02/11Al-Ittihad FC23/11Al-NassrNeftchi3–1Al Ain0–4Al-Wasl FC26/10Pakhtakor02/11Al Sadd24/11Top Scorers
PakhtakorAl-NassrCards Given
PakhtakorAl-Nassr