Kashima vs Pohang Steelers — AFC Champions League Elite
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Kashima and Pohang Steelers meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Kashima have recorded 20 wins from 27 matches this season (74% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 37% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 59% of games. Pohang Steelers have won 33% of their 36 matches, with 0.94 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 39%, Over 2.5 at 39%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.36 for Kashima and 1.25 for Pohang Steelers. The models give Kashima a 60% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Pohang Steelers win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
KashimaPohang SteelersHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Kashima | Home | Away | Pohang Steelers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 96% | 100% | 92% | 58% | 38% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 60% | 42% | 28% | 13% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 33% | 25% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 4% | 0% | 8% | 42% | 63% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Kashima | Home | Away | Pohang Steelers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 41% | 27% | 58% | 69% | 63% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 15% | 0% | 33% | 42% | 25% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 17% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 59% | 73% | 42% | 31% | 38% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kashima | Pohang Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 6% |
| BTTS | 37% | 39% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kashima | Pohang Steelers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 21% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 67% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 4% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 79% | 39% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 54% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Kashima (H)
Kashiwa Reysol2–3
V-varen Nagasaki2–0
Gamba Osaka2–0
Ventforet Kofu3–1
Newcastle Jets7–1
Urawa0–1Pohang Steelers (A)
Ulsan Hyundai FC2–2
Incheon United0–3
Beijing Guoan1–3
Daejeon Citizen2–2
Jeonbuk Motors0–2
Gangwon FC0–0Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Kashima | Pohang Steelers | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 70% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 77% | 60% | 59% |
| Over 8 | 68% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 64% | 35% | 45% |
| Over 10 | 45% | 30% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 32% | 20% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 23% | 15% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 18% | 5% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Kashima | Pohang Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.6 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 59% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 82% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 59% | 30% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 1 | Kashima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Esteghlal FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 3 |  Vissel Kobe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 |  Johor Darul Takzim FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 | Daejeon Citizen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Neftchi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 8 |  Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Kyoto Sanga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Jeonbuk Motors | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 |  Buriram United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Tractor Sazi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Ratchaburi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 13 |  Công An Nhân Dân | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 |  Al-Gharafa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Pohang Steelers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 |  Port FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 15 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 |  Al Sadd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 | Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 |
Season Schedule
KashimaCông An Nhân Dân1–0Newcastle Jets7–1Pohang Steelers28/10Buriram United04/11Jeonbuk Motors25/11Pohang SteelersJohor Darul Takzim FC0–2Beijing Guoan1–3Kashima28/10Gamba Osaka04/11Kyoto Sanga24/11Top Scorers
KashimaPohang SteelersCards Given
KashimaPohang Steelers