Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United — AFC Champions League Elite
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Gamba Osaka and Buriram United meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Gamba Osaka have recorded 15 wins from 32 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 2.09 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Buriram United have won 55% of their 11 matches, with 2.09 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.97 for Gamba Osaka and 1.24 for Buriram United. The models give Gamba Osaka a 54% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Buriram United win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Gamba Osaka—
Buriram United2º
Position
11º
3.00
PPG
0.50
100%
Win %
0%
3.50
Goals / game
0.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
59%
BTTS %
45%
28%
Clean sheet %
45%
63%
Over 2.5 %
45%
4.1
Avg corners
7.3
13.4
Avg shots
17.2
5.7
Avg shots on target
5.7
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.5
10.6
Avg fouls
8.8
55.5%
Avg possession
61.5%
Home vs Away
Gamba Osaka
Home (1)
—
Buriram United
Away (1)
3.00
PPG
1.00
100%
Win %
0%
4.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
56%
BTTS %
40%
31%
Clean sheet %
60%
56%
Over 2.5 %
40%
4.1
Avg corners
7.3
13.4
Avg shots
17.2
5.7
Avg shots on target
5.7
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.5
55.5%
Avg possession
61.5%
Goals Scored
| Gamba Osaka | Home | Away | Buriram United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 81% | 81% | 82% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 59% | 63% | 56% | 45% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 34% | 38% | 31% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 19% | 19% | 18% | 33% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Gamba Osaka | Home | Away | Buriram United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 69% | 75% | 55% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 31% | 44% | 18% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 13% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 31% | 25% | 45% | 33% | 60% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gamba Osaka | Buriram United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 28% | 27% |
| BTTS | 59% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gamba Osaka | Buriram United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 55% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 82% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 55% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 27% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Gamba Osaka (H)D
Kyoto Sanga2–2
Kyoto Sanga2–2W
Tokushima Vortis5–0
Tokushima Vortis5–0L
Vissel Kobe0–1
Vissel Kobe0–1W
Công An Nhân Dân4–1
Công An Nhân Dân4–1L
FC Tokyo0–2
FC Tokyo0–2D
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–0Buriram United (A)W
Pattani1–0
Pattani1–0W
Chonburi FC1–0
Chonburi FC1–0D
Johor Darul Takzim FC1–1
Johor Darul Takzim FC1–1W
Sukhothai FC3–1
Sukhothai FC3–1W
BG Pathum United3–0
BG Pathum United3–0W
Selangor1–0
Selangor1–0Number of Corners
8.7
Corners / Match
22 games
League Avg
9.1
29 games
10.8
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | Gamba Osaka | Buriram United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 83% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 83% | 59% |
| Over 8 | 59% | 83% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 41% | 67% | 45% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 67% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 33% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 17% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 17% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Gamba Osaka | Buriram United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 7.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 41% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 77% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 33% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 1 |  Kashima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Esteghlal FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beijing Guoan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 | Johor Darul Takzim FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Daejeon Citizen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Neftchi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 8 |  Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Kyoto Sanga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Buriram United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Tractor Sazi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Ratchaburi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 13 | Công An Nhân Dân | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 |  Al-Gharafa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Pohang Steelers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 |  Port FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 15 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 |  Al Sadd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 |
Team Insights
Gamba Osaka- ●Gamba Osaka have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Gamba Osaka have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Gamba Osaka's points have been earned away.
Buriram United—
Season Schedule
Gamba OsakaWANewcastle Jets3–1
Newcastle Jets3–1WHCông An Nhân Dân4–1
Công An Nhân Dân4–1WA
Gangwon FC1–0
Gangwon FC1–0–HBuriram United28/10
Buriram United28/10–APohang Steelers04/11
Pohang Steelers04/11–HPort FC25/11
Port FC25/11Buriram UnitedLHBeijing Guoan0–1
Beijing Guoan0–1DAJohor Darul Takzim FC1–1
Johor Darul Takzim FC1–1–AGamba Osaka28/10
Gamba Osaka28/10–HKashima04/11
Kashima04/11–ASHANGHAI SIPG24/11
SHANGHAI SIPG24/11Top Scorers
Gamba OsakaD. Hummet11 ⚽
H. Minamino6 ⚽
T. Usami5 ⚽
I. Jebali5 ⚽
R. Meshino5 ⚽
R. Yamashita4 ⚽
Buriram UnitedBissoli4 ⚽
S. Schimmer2 ⚽
Stefan Schimmer2 ⚽
Supachai Chaided2 ⚽
T. Chotmuangpak2 ⚽
P. Jeyakom1 ⚽
Cards Given
Gamba OsakaTakeru Kishimoto8 🟨
Tokuma Suzuki2 🟨
Ryotaro Meshino2 🟨
R. Hatsuse2 🟨
Shuto Abe2 🟨
R. Yamashita1 🟨
Buriram UnitedN. Weerawatnodom3 🟨
Kenneth William Dougall3 🟨
Sebas Moyano2 🟨
K. Dougall2 🟨
Paulinho2 🟨
J. Praisuwan1 🟨