Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Gharafa — AFC Champions League Elite
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Al-Ahli Jeddah and Al-Gharafa meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 26 October 2026. Al-Ahli Jeddah have recorded 12 wins from 25 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 2.28 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 76%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Al-Gharafa have won 29% of their 17 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.23 for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 1.21 for Al-Gharafa. The models give Al-Ahli Jeddah a 63% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Al-Gharafa win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Al-Ahli Jeddah—
Al-Gharafa5º
Position
13º
2.00
PPG
0.00
50%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
64%
BTTS %
76%
28%
Clean sheet %
24%
76%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.1
Avg corners
5.5
14.6
Avg shots
16.0
5.9
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.0
14.5
Avg fouls
11.4
52.7%
Avg possession
46.4%
Home vs Away
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Home (1)
—
Al-Gharafa
Away (1)
1.00
PPG
0.00
0%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
70%
BTTS %
83%
30%
Clean sheet %
17%
60%
Over 2.5 %
83%
4.1
Avg corners
5.5
14.6
Avg shots
16.0
5.9
Avg shots on target
5.3
1.3
Avg yellow cards
2.0
52.7%
Avg possession
46.4%
Goals Scored
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | Home | Away | Al-Gharafa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 87% | 82% | 82% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 50% | 60% | 47% | 55% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 40% | 12% | 18% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 13% | 18% | 18% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | Home | Away | Al-Gharafa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 70% | 73% | 76% | 73% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 20% | 60% | 53% | 36% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 20% | 27% | 18% | 9% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 30% | 27% | 24% | 27% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 76% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 64% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 24% |
| BTTS | 64% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 68% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Al-Ahli Jeddah (H)W
Al Khaleej Saihat4–1
Al Khaleej Saihat4–1D
Pakhtakor1–1
Pakhtakor1–1W
Al-Hazm3–1
Al-Hazm3–1W
Al Riyadh5–0
Al Riyadh5–0W
Auckland1–0
Auckland1–0W
Abha4–0
Abha4–0Al-Gharafa (A)L
Al Wakrah2–3
Al Wakrah2–3L
Al-Hilal Saudi FC1–2
Al-Hilal Saudi FC1–2L
Al Sadd1–4
Al Sadd1–4LAl Sadd1–2
Al Sadd1–2DAl Riyadh2–2
Al Riyadh2–2L
Šamorín1–2
Šamorín1–2Number of Corners
7.6
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.1
29 games
11.6
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Gharafa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 88% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 42% | 88% | 59% |
| Over 8 | 42% | 63% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 25% | 63% | 45% |
| Over 10 | 17% | 50% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 50% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 38% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 38% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Al-Ahli Jeddah | Al-Gharafa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 6.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 42% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 25% | 50% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Al-Ahli Jeddah
50%
2
Draws
50%
0
Al-Gharafa
0%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
20/10/25Al-Gharafa
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4–0Al-Gharafa17/02/25Al-Gharafa
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4–2Al-Gharafa13/03/18Al-Gharafa
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–1Al-Gharafa05/03/18Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Gharafa
1–1Al-Ahli Jeddah| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 1 |  Kashima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Esteghlal FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 |  Gamba Osaka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 3 |  Vissel Kobe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beijing Guoan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 |  Johor Darul Takzim FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Daejeon Citizen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Neftchi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 8 |  Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Kyoto Sanga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 |  Buriram United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Tractor Sazi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Ratchaburi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 13 |  Công An Nhân Dân | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 | Al-Gharafa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Pohang Steelers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 |  Port FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 15 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Sadd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 |
Season Schedule
Al-Ahli JeddahWAAl-Wasl FC3–1
Al-Wasl FC3–1DHPakhtakor1–1
Pakhtakor1–1–HAl-Gharafa26/10
Al-Gharafa26/10–AAl Sadd02/11
Al Sadd02/11–AAl Shamal23/11
Al Shamal23/11Al-GharafaLHEsteghlal FC1–2
Esteghlal FC1–2LAAl-Hilal Saudi FC1–2
Al-Hilal Saudi FC1–2–AAl-Ahli Jeddah26/10
Al-Ahli Jeddah26/10–HAl-Qadisiyah FC02/11
Al-Qadisiyah FC02/11–AAl Quwa Al Jawiya23/11
Al Quwa Al Jawiya23/11Top Scorers
Al-Ahli JeddahI. Toney11 ⚽
Ivan Toney9 ⚽
Francisco Trincão6 ⚽
F. Kessie4 ⚽
F. Al Buraikan3 ⚽
Artem Bondarenko3 ⚽
Al-GharafaY. Brahimi7 ⚽
Yacine Brahimi3 ⚽
Frank Magri2 ⚽
F. Sassi2 ⚽
F. Coman2 ⚽
Ferjani Sassi2 ⚽
Cards Given
Al-Ahli JeddahM. Demiral6 🟨
I. Toney4 🟨
V. Atangana4 🟨
Ibanez4 🟨
Z. Al Hawsawi3 🟨
R. Hamidou2 🟨
Al-GharafaFerjani Sassi4 🟨
D. Traore3 🟨
Seydou Sano3 🟨
F. Coman2 🟨
F. Diaz2 🟨
Fabricio Díaz2 🟨