Neftchi vs Al-Ittihad FC — AFC Champions League Elite
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Neftchi and Al-Ittihad FC meet in the AFC Champions League Elite 2026 season on 26 October 2026. Neftchi have recorded 24 wins from 37 matches this season (65% win rate), averaging 2.05 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 49% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Al-Ittihad FC have won 59% of their 22 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 82%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Neftchi and 1.51 for Al-Ittihad FC. The models give Neftchi a 41% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Al-Ittihad FC win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
NeftchiAl-Ittihad FCHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Neftchi | Home | Away | Al-Ittihad FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 94% | 80% | 95% | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 71% | 55% | 64% | 71% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 35% | 41% | 30% | 27% | 29% | 27% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 6% | 20% | 5% | 0% | 7% |
Goals Conceded
| Neftchi | Home | Away | Al-Ittihad FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 59% | 55% | 82% | 86% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 18% | 30% | 32% | 29% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 6% | 25% | 9% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 41% | 45% | 18% | 14% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Neftchi | Al-Ittihad FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 32% |
| BTTS | 49% | 82% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 45% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 68% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Neftchi | Al-Ittihad FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 64% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 23% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 86% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 64% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 72% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Neftchi (H)
Lokomotiv2–4
Xorazm2–2
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–0
Surkhon2–1
Pakhtakor1–0
Sogdiana3–0Al-Ittihad FC (A)
Al-Ettifaq4–1
Al-Hilal Saudi FC2–3
Al Shamal1–1
Al-Faisaly FC3–1
Al-Fateh0–0
Al-Qadisiyah FC1–0Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Neftchi | Al-Ittihad FC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 83% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 67% | 59% |
| Over 8 | 100% | 58% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 100% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 50% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 33% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 50% | 33% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 25% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Neftchi | Al-Ittihad FC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.5 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 33% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 1 |  Kashima | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Esteghlal FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 |  Gamba Osaka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 3 |  Vissel Kobe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beijing Guoan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 |  Johor Darul Takzim FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Daejeon Citizen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Neftchi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 8 |  Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Kyoto Sanga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 |  Jeonbuk Motors | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 |  Buriram United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Al-Ittihad FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Tractor Sazi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Ratchaburi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 13 |  Công An Nhân Dân | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 |  Al-Gharafa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 |  Pohang Steelers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 |  Port FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 |  Al Sadd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 |  Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 |
Season Schedule
NeftchiAl-Nassr1–3Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–0Al-Ittihad FC26/10Tractor Sazi02/11Al-Hilal Saudi FC23/11Al-Ittihad FCShabab Al Ahli Dubai1–2Al Shamal1–1
Al-Jazira4–1Neftchi26/10Al Ain02/11Pakhtakor23/11Top Scorers
NeftchiAl-Ittihad FCCards Given
NeftchiAl-Ittihad FC