Melita vs Santa Lucía — Challenge League
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Melita and Santa Lucía meet in the Challenge League 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Melita have recorded 2 wins from 5 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Santa Lucía have won 0% of their 5 matches, with 0.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 0%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.08 for Melita and 1.39 for Santa Lucía. The models give Melita a 36% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Santa Lucía win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
MelitaSanta LucíaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Melita | Home | Away | Santa Lucía | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 50% | 67% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 0% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Melita | Home | Away | Santa Lucía | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 100% | 33% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 0% | 67% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Melita | Santa Lucía | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 60% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 0% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Melita | Santa Lucía | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 20% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 60% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 20% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Melita (H)
Pietà Hotspurs0–2
Mgarr United1–2
Birzebbuga0–3
Xewkija Tigers3–1
Fgura United0–1
St. Andrews3–0Santa Lucía (A)Fgura United0–0St. Andrews1–1
Mtarfa5–1Mgarr United1–1
Vittoriosa Stars1–1St. Andrews1–2Head to Head · 1 matches
Melita| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tarxien Rainbows | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Fgura United | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |  Naxxar Lions | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 | Mgarr United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Swieqi United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 6 | Melita | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | St. Andrews | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 8 | Pietà Hotspurs | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 |  Victoria Hotspurs | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Vittoriosa Stars | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Santa Lucía | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 |  Zurrieq | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Sirens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 |  Attard | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |  Zebbug Rangers | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
| 16 |  Gudja United | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 0 |
Team Insights
Melita- ●Melita have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●100% of Melita's points have been earned away.
Santa Lucía- ●Santa Lucía have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Santa Lucía have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
Season Schedule
MelitaZebbug Rangers2–1Pietà Hotspurs0–2Attard0–0Mgarr United1–2Gudja United3–0Sirens01/11Victoria Hotspurs07/11Santa Lucía22/11Santa LucíaNaxxar Lions1–1Fgura United0–0Zurrieq1–1St. Andrews1–1Vittoriosa Stars0–0Swieqi United01/11Tarxien Rainbows08/11Melita22/11Top Scorers
MelitaSanta LucíaCards Given
MelitaSanta Lucía