Mara Sugar vs Homeboyz — FKF Premier League
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Mara Sugar and Homeboyz meet in the FKF Premier League 2026 season on 30 November 2026. Mara Sugar have recorded 1 wins from 5 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Homeboyz have won 20% of their 5 matches, with 0.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 20%, Over 2.5 at 0%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.07 for Mara Sugar and 0.71 for Homeboyz. The models give Mara Sugar a 44% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Homeboyz win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 26% and BTTS at 34%.
Season Statistics
Mara SugarHomeboyzHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mara Sugar | Home | Away | Homeboyz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 50% | 67% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 50% | 33% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Mara Sugar | Home | Away | Homeboyz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 67% | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 0% | 67% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mara Sugar | Homeboyz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 60% | 20% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 0% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mara Sugar | Homeboyz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 60% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 0% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 60% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Mara Sugar (H)
AFC Leopards0–0
Mombasa Elite2–1
GOR Mahia0–0
Mathare United0–1
Shabana1–0
Posta Rangers FC1–0Homeboyz (A)AFC Leopards0–2Mombasa Elite1–0
Police1–1
Kariobangi Sharks2–2
Murang'a SEAL0–1
KCB1–1Head to Head · 4 matches
Mara SugarHomeboyzMara SugarHomeboyz| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | KCB | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 | AFC Leopards | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 |  3K | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Murang'a SEAL | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Tusker | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Migori Youth | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 |  APS Bomet | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Shabana | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Mathare United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Ulinzi Stars | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Nairobi United | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 |  Bandari | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Homeboyz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Posta Rangers FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Mombasa Elite | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Mara Sugar- ●Mara Sugar have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
Homeboyz- ●Homeboyz have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
Season Schedule
Mara SugarTusker1–3AFC Leopards0–0Ulinzi Stars0–0Mombasa Elite2–13K2–2Migori Youth07/11Nairobi United14/11Shabana22/11HomeboyzAFC Leopards0–2GOR Mahia0–1Ulinzi Stars1–1Mombasa Elite1–0Kenya Police07/11KCB15/11Mathare United20/11Top Scorers
Mara SugarHomeboyz