Shabana vs Mara Sugar — FKF Premier League
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Shabana and Mara Sugar meet in the FKF Premier League 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Shabana have recorded 2 wins from 7 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 0.43 goals scored and 0.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 14% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 0%; and clean sheets in 57% of games. Mara Sugar have won 20% of their 5 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.07 for Shabana and 0.82 for Mara Sugar. The models give Shabana a 42% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Mara Sugar win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 29% and BTTS at 37%.
Season Statistics
ShabanaMara SugarHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Shabana | Home | Away | Mara Sugar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 43% | 25% | 67% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 57% | 75% | 33% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Shabana | Home | Away | Mara Sugar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 43% | 75% | 0% | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 57% | 25% | 100% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Shabana | Mara Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 71% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 | 14% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 14% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 0% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Shabana | Mara Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 71% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 60% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 14% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 14% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Shabana (H)
Kenya Police0–1
Migori Youth1–1
Nairobi United0–0
KCB1–2
Ulinzi Stars0–0
Police0–1Mara Sugar (A)
Tusker1–3Ulinzi Stars0–0
3K2–2
Murang'a SEAL1–2
AFC Leopards1–2Tusker1–0Head to Head · 8 matches
ShabanaMara SugarMara SugarShabanaMara SugarShabanaMara SugarShabana| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | KCB | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 | AFC Leopards | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 | Kenya Police | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 | 3K | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Murang'a SEAL | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 | Tusker | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 | Migori Youth | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 |  APS Bomet | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Shabana | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Mathare United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Nairobi United | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 |  Bandari | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 |  Homeboyz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 |  Posta Rangers FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Shabana- ●Shabana have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Shabana have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Shabana's points have been earned away.
Mara Sugar- ●Mara Sugar have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
Season Schedule
ShabanaKenya Police0–1Migori Youth1–1AFC Leopards0–0Nairobi United0–0Posta Rangers FC1–0Mombasa Elite07/11Tusker15/11Mara Sugar22/11Mara SugarTusker1–3AFC Leopards0–0Ulinzi Stars0–0Mombasa Elite2–13K2–2Migori Youth07/11Nairobi United14/11Shabana22/11Top Scorers
ShabanaMara Sugar