Tusker vs Shabana — FKF Premier League
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Tusker and Shabana meet in the FKF Premier League 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Tusker have recorded 6 wins from 11 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Shabana have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 0.43 goals scored and 0.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 14%, Over 2.5 at 0%, and clean sheets at 57%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.10 for Tusker and 0.78 for Shabana. The models give Tusker a 42% win probability, with a draw at 31% and an Shabana win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 29% and BTTS at 36%.
Season Statistics
Tusker
ShabanaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Tusker | Home | Away | Shabana | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 67% | 100% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 33% | 60% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 33% | 0% | 57% | 75% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Tusker | Home | Away | Shabana | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 50% | 80% | 43% | 75% | 0% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 50% | 20% | 57% | 25% | 100% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tusker | Shabana | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 55% | 14% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 0% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tusker | Shabana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 9% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 71% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 14% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 36% | 14% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Tusker (H)
Mara Sugar3–1
Singida Black Stars0–1
Al Ahli Wad Medani1–0
KVZ2–0
Rayon Sports0–1
Police2–1Shabana (A)
AFC Leopards0–0
Posta Rangers FC1–0
Sofapaka1–1
Bidco United1–0Mara Sugar0–1
KUTA Collection1–0Head to Head · 6 matches
TuskerShabanaShabanaTuskerTuskerShabana| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 |  KCB | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 | AFC Leopards | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 |  3K | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 |  Murang'a SEAL | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 | Tusker | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Migori Youth | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 |  APS Bomet | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Shabana | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Mathare United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Ulinzi Stars | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Nairobi United | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 |  Bandari | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 |  Homeboyz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Posta Rangers FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Tusker—
Shabana- ●Shabana have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Shabana have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Shabana's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
TuskerMara Sugar3–1Mathare United1–2Ulinzi Stars2–0Bandari08/11Shabana15/11Nairobi United20/11ShabanaKenya Police0–1Migori Youth1–1AFC Leopards0–0Nairobi United0–0Posta Rangers FC1–0Mombasa Elite07/11Tusker15/11Mara Sugar22/11Top Scorers
TuskerShabana