GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United — FKF Premier League
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GOR Mahia and Nairobi United meet in the FKF Premier League 2026 season on 8 November 2026. GOR Mahia have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Nairobi United have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.35 for GOR Mahia and 0.96 for Nairobi United. The models give GOR Mahia a 51% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Nairobi United win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
GOR MahiaNairobi UnitedHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| GOR Mahia | Home | Away | Nairobi United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 75% | 100% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 0% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 25% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| GOR Mahia | Home | Away | Nairobi United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 75% | 33% | 71% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 75% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 25% | 67% | 29% | 0% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| GOR Mahia | Nairobi United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 14% |
| BTTS | 43% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 43% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| GOR Mahia | Nairobi United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 57% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 14% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
GOR Mahia (H)
KCB1–2
Bandari1–0
Murang'a SEAL4–2
Pyramids FC0–2
Al Hilal Omdurman1–1
Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri1–0Nairobi United (A)Murang'a SEAL2–3
Shabana0–0GOR Mahia1–0
Kariobangi Sharks0–2
Mathare United2–1Murang'a SEAL4–2Head to Head · 3 matches
Nairobi UnitedGOR MahiaNairobi United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 12 |
| 2 | KCB | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 |  3K | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Murang'a SEAL | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Tusker | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 8 |  Migori Youth | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 |  APS Bomet | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Shabana | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 |  Mara Sugar | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Mathare United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Ulinzi Stars | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Nairobi United | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Bandari | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 |  Homeboyz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 |  Posta Rangers FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
GOR Mahia- ●GOR Mahia have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●GOR Mahia have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●GOR Mahia have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●75% of GOR Mahia's goals have been scored at home.
Nairobi United- ●Nairobi United have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Nairobi United have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
Season Schedule
GOR MahiaKCB1–2Homeboyz1–0Bandari1–0APS Bomet1–0Murang'a SEAL4–2Nairobi United08/113K15/11Posta Rangers FC21/11Nairobi UnitedBandari1–1Murang'a SEAL2–3APS Bomet1–1Shabana0–0KCB2–2GOR Mahia08/11Mara Sugar14/11Tusker20/11Top Scorers
GOR MahiaNairobi United