Niger Tornadoes vs Kwara United — NPFL
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Niger Tornadoes and Kwara United meet in the NPFL 2027 season on 29 November 2026. Niger Tornadoes have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 0.82 goals scored and 0.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 27%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Kwara United have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.09 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Niger Tornadoes and 0.52 for Kwara United. The models give Niger Tornadoes a 54% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Kwara United win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 28% and BTTS at 30%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Niger Tornadoes | Home | Away | Kwara United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 67% | 40% | 64% | 100% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 33% | 20% | 36% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 33% | 60% | 36% | 0% | 80% |
Goals Conceded
| Niger Tornadoes | Home | Away | Kwara United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 50% | 60% | 91% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 20% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 50% | 40% | 9% | 17% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Niger Tornadoes | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 73% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 36% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 0% |
| BTTS | 36% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Niger Tornadoes | Kwara United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 60% |
| Scored 1st Half | 18% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 70% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 64% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 20% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 9% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 12 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +10 | 18 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 18 | |
| 4 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +3 | 18 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 16 | |
| 7 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | +3 | 16 | |
| 8 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 16 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 16 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 | |
| 13 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 14 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 | |
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 | |
| 16 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 12 | |
| 17 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 11 | |
| 18 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7 | 10 | |
| 19 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 9 | |
| 20 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●Niger Tornadoes have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Niger Tornadoes have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Niger Tornadoes have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Niger Tornadoes have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Niger Tornadoes have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●67% of Niger Tornadoes's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Niger Tornadoes's points have been earned at home.
- ●Niger Tornadoes have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Kwara United have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Kwara United have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Kwara United have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Kwara United have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●92% of Kwara United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●92% of Kwara United's points have been earned at home.
- ●Kwara United have conceded 82% of their goals in the first half.