Warri Wolves vs Sporting Lagos — NPFL
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Warri Wolves and Sporting Lagos meet in the NPFL 2027 season on 15 November 2026. Warri Wolves have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.67 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 22% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 22%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Sporting Lagos have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for Warri Wolves and 1.06 for Sporting Lagos. The models give Warri Wolves a 42% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Sporting Lagos win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Warri Wolves | Home | Away | Sporting Lagos | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 40% | 60% | 20% | 67% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 60% |
| Failed To Score | 60% | 40% | 80% | 33% | 50% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Warri Wolves | Home | Away | Sporting Lagos | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 60% | 78% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 40% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 60% | 40% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Warri Wolves | Sporting Lagos | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 70% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 30% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS | 20% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Warri Wolves | Sporting Lagos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 11% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 56% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 11% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +11 | 17 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 | |
| 3 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 | |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | |
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 14 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 | |
| 11 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 12 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 | |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 9 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 | |
| 19 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Warri Wolves have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Warri Wolves have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Warri Wolves have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●83% of Warri Wolves's points have been earned at home.
- ●Sporting Lagos have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●77% of Sporting Lagos's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Sporting Lagos's points have been earned away.
- ●Sporting Lagos have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.