Kwara United vs Bendel Insurance — NPFL
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Kwara United and Bendel Insurance meet in the NPFL 2027 season on 1 November 2026. Kwara United have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.11 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Bendel Insurance have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Kwara United and 0.74 for Bendel Insurance. The models give Kwara United a 54% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Bendel Insurance win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Kwara United—
Bendel Insurance13º
Position
11º
1.22
PPG
1.50
33%
Win %
50%
1.11
Goals / game
1.75
1.11
Conceded / game
1.63
44%
BTTS %
75%
11%
Clean sheet %
0%
44%
Over 2.5 %
88%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Kwara United
Home (5)
—
Bendel Insurance
Away (4)
2.20
PPG
0.00
60%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
0.50
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
80%
BTTS %
50%
20%
Clean sheet %
0%
80%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Kwara United | Home | Away | Bendel Insurance | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 100% | 0% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 80% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 0% | 100% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Kwara United | Home | Away | Bendel Insurance | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 20% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kwara United | Bendel Insurance | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS | 44% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kwara United | Bendel Insurance | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 22% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Kwara United (H)D
Abia Warriors1–1
Abia Warriors1–1W
Ranchers Bees2–1
Ranchers Bees2–1W
Nasarawa United2–1
Nasarawa United2–1W
Katsina United3–0
Katsina United3–0D
Kano Pillars2–2
Kano Pillars2–2L
Sokoto0–1
Sokoto0–1Bendel Insurance (A)L
Sporting Lagos1–2
Sporting Lagos1–2LAbia Warriors0–3
Abia Warriors0–3LRanchers Bees1–2
Ranchers Bees1–2LNasarawa United0–1
Nasarawa United0–1L
Enugu Rangers1–2
Enugu Rangers1–2W
Wikki Tourist2–1
Wikki Tourist2–1Head to Head · 10 matches
0
Kwara United
0%
5
Draws
50%
5
Bendel Insurance
50%
50%
Over 1.5
5/10
20%
Over 2.5
2/10
20%
Over 3.5
2/10
40%
BTTS
4/10
14/01/26Bendel Insurance
Kwara United
0–1Bendel Insurance27/12/25Kwara United
Bendel Insurance
2–0Kwara United13/04/25Bendel Insurance
Kwara United
0–1Bendel Insurance23/11/24Kwara United
Bendel Insurance
3–1Kwara United07/04/24Bendel Insurance
Kwara United
1–1Bendel Insurance18/11/23Kwara United
Bendel Insurance
2–2Kwara United08/04/23Kwara United
Bendel Insurance
1–1Kwara United22/01/23Bendel Insurance
Kwara United
0–1Bendel Insurance21/04/19Bendel Insurance
Kwara United
0–0Bendel Insurance23/01/19Kwara United
Bendel Insurance
0–0Kwara United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rivers United | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 | Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 |  Plateau United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 | Sporting Lagos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 5 |  Barau FC | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | Nasarawa United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 | Kano Pillars | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Doma United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 |  Ikorodu City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 11 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Niger Tornadoes | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Kwara United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Warri Wolves | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 |  Shooting Stars | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Abia Warriors | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  Kun Khalifat FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 |  Enyimba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 19 | Ranchers Bees | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 20 |  Inter Lagos | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 2 |
Team Insights
Kwara United- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Kwara United have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kwara United have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Kwara United have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Kwara United failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●100% of Kwara United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Kwara United's points have been earned at home.
- ●Kwara United have conceded 80% of their goals in the first half.
Bendel Insurance- ●Bendel Insurance failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Bendel Insurance have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Bendel Insurance have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Bendel Insurance have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Bendel Insurance have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●86% of Bendel Insurance's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Bendel Insurance's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Kwara UnitedDHAbia Warriors1–1
Abia Warriors1–1LAIkorodu City0–2
Ikorodu City0–2WHRanchers Bees2–1
Ranchers Bees2–1LAKun Khalifat FC0–1
Kun Khalifat FC0–1WHNasarawa United2–1
Nasarawa United2–1LAWarri Wolves0–1
Warri Wolves0–1–ABarau FC25/10
Barau FC25/10–HBendel Insurance01/11
Bendel Insurance01/11–AEnugu Rangers08/11
Enugu Rangers08/11Bendel InsuranceLASporting Lagos1–2
Sporting Lagos1–2WHBarau FC4–1
Barau FC4–1LAAbia Warriors0–3
Abia Warriors0–3WHIkorodu City2–1
Ikorodu City2–1LARanchers Bees1–2
Ranchers Bees1–2WHKun Khalifat FC4–2
Kun Khalifat FC4–2–HRivers United25/10
Rivers United25/10–AKwara United01/11
Kwara United01/11–HNiger Tornadoes08/11
Niger Tornadoes08/11Top Scorers
Kwara UnitedG. Chukwu1 ⚽
T. Gidado1 ⚽
Bendel InsuranceK. Oke Solomon2 ⚽
A. Oweilayefa1 ⚽
G. Lekan1 ⚽
Cards Given
Kwara United6 🟨
Bendel Insurance8 🟨