Katsina United vs Sporting Lagos — NPFL
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Muhammadu Dikko Stadium·Katsina·Nigeria·35,000
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Katsina United and Sporting Lagos meet in the NPFL 2027 season on 1 November 2026. Katsina United have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Sporting Lagos have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Katsina United and 1.30 for Sporting Lagos. The models give Katsina United a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Sporting Lagos win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Katsina United—
Sporting Lagos9º
Position
4º
1.30
PPG
1.67
30%
Win %
44%
1.20
Goals / game
1.44
1.40
Conceded / game
1.22
60%
BTTS %
56%
10%
Clean sheet %
22%
40%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Katsina United
Home (5)
—
Sporting Lagos
Away (5)
2.20
PPG
2.00
60%
Win %
60%
2.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.20
Conceded / game
1.40
80%
BTTS %
60%
20%
Clean sheet %
20%
60%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Katsina United | Home | Away | Sporting Lagos | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 100% | 40% | 67% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 60% | 0% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 60% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 0% | 60% | 33% | 50% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Katsina United | Home | Away | Sporting Lagos | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 80% | 100% | 78% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 40% | 40% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Katsina United | Sporting Lagos | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 22% |
| BTTS | 60% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 40% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Katsina United | Sporting Lagos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Katsina United (H)D
Plateau United2–2
Plateau United2–2W
Enyimba4–2
Enyimba4–2D
Rivers United1–1
Rivers United1–1W
Doma United2–1
Doma United2–1W
Niger Tornadoes1–0
Niger Tornadoes1–0W
Ikorodu City4–1
Ikorodu City4–1Sporting Lagos (A)WPlateau United3–2
Plateau United3–2D
Kano Pillars1–1
Kano Pillars1–1WEnyimba3–2
Enyimba3–2W
Inter Lagos3–0
Inter Lagos3–0LDoma United0–2
Doma United0–2L
Shooting Stars0–1
Shooting Stars0–1Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Katsina United
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Sporting Lagos
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
21/04/24Sporting Lagos
Katsina United
2–0Sporting Lagos03/12/23Katsina United
Sporting Lagos
1–0Katsina United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rivers United | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 |  Enugu Rangers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 | Plateau United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 | Sporting Lagos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 5 |  Barau FC | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Nasarawa United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 | Kano Pillars | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 | Doma United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Katsina United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Ikorodu City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 11 |  Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 | Niger Tornadoes | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 |  Kwara United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Warri Wolves | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Shooting Stars | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 |  Abia Warriors | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 |  Kun Khalifat FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Enyimba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 19 |  Ranchers Bees | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 2 |
Team Insights
Katsina United- ●Katsina United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Katsina United have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Katsina United have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Katsina United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Katsina United failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Katsina United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●83% of Katsina United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●85% of Katsina United's points have been earned at home.
Sporting Lagos- ●Sporting Lagos have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sporting Lagos have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●77% of Sporting Lagos's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Sporting Lagos's points have been earned away.
- ●Sporting Lagos have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Katsina UnitedDHPlateau United2–2
Plateau United2–2LAKano Pillars0–1
Kano Pillars0–1WHEnyimba4–2
Enyimba4–2DAInter Lagos1–1
Inter Lagos1–1DHRivers United1–1
Rivers United1–1WHDoma United2–1
Doma United2–1–HSporting Lagos01/11
Sporting Lagos01/11–AWarri Wolves08/11
Warri Wolves08/11–HNasarawa United15/11
Nasarawa United15/11Sporting LagosWAPlateau United3–2
Plateau United3–2WHBendel Insurance2–1
Bendel Insurance2–1DAKano Pillars1–1
Kano Pillars1–1DHIkorodu City0–0
Ikorodu City0–0DHBarau FC1–1
Barau FC1–1WAEnyimba3–2
Enyimba3–2–HEnugu Rangers24/10
Enugu Rangers24/10–AKatsina United01/11
Katsina United01/11–HRivers United07/11
Rivers United07/11Top Scorers
Katsina UnitedL. Dadong1 ⚽
S. Mubarak1 ⚽
U. Rabiu1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Sporting LagosA. Baba2 ⚽
S. Ayoade2 ⚽
V. Samuel2 ⚽
V. Ugwu2 ⚽
H. Haruna1 ⚽
G. Olaniya1 ⚽
Cards Given
Katsina United5 🟨
K. Jinadu2 🟨
Sporting Lagos9 🟨