Kastrioti Krujë vs Pogradeci — 1st Division
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Kastrioti Krujë and Pogradeci meet in the 1st Division 2026 season on 2 December 2026. Kastrioti Krujë have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Pogradeci have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 58%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Kastrioti Krujë and 1.07 for Pogradeci. The models give Kastrioti Krujë a 34% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Pogradeci win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Kastrioti Krujë—
Pogradeci8º
Position
6º
1.22
PPG
1.56
33%
Win %
33%
1.11
Goals / game
1.44
1.22
Conceded / game
0.89
50%
BTTS %
42%
30%
Clean sheet %
58%
40%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Kastrioti Krujë
Home (4)
—
Pogradeci
Away (5)
2.25
PPG
1.60
75%
Win %
40%
1.25
Goals / game
1.80
0.25
Conceded / game
1.00
20%
BTTS %
33%
60%
Clean sheet %
67%
20%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Kastrioti Krujë | Home | Away | Pogradeci | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 80% | 80% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 60% | 20% | 58% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 20% | 20% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Kastrioti Krujë | Home | Away | Pogradeci | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 40% | 100% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 0% | 60% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 8% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% | 58% | 50% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Kastrioti Krujë | Pogradeci | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 17% |
| BTTS | 50% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Kastrioti Krujë | Pogradeci | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 75% | 58% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Kastrioti Krujë (H)W
Korabi Peshkopi2–0
Korabi Peshkopi2–0L
Iliria Fushë-Krujë0–1
Iliria Fushë-Krujë0–1W
Oriku2–0
Oriku2–0W
Luzi 20083–1
Luzi 20083–1W
Flamurtari1–0
Flamurtari1–0L
Luftëtari1–2
Luftëtari1–2Pogradeci (A)L
Besa Kavajë2–3
Besa Kavajë2–3D
Bylis2–2
Bylis2–2WKorabi Peshkopi2–0
Korabi Peshkopi2–0W
FK Kukesi3–0
FK Kukesi3–0DIliria Fushë-Krujë0–0
Iliria Fushë-Krujë0–0L
Teuta Durrës0–1
Teuta Durrës0–1Head to Head · 10 matches
2
Kastrioti Krujë
20%
2
Draws
20%
6
Pogradeci
60%
90%
Over 1.5
9/10
70%
Over 2.5
7/10
50%
Over 3.5
5/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
12/09/26Kastrioti Krujë
Pogradeci
2–1Kastrioti Krujë07/05/26Kastrioti Krujë
Pogradeci
3–0Kastrioti Krujë04/04/26Kastrioti Krujë
Pogradeci
5–1Kastrioti Krujë24/01/26Pogradeci
Kastrioti Krujë
2–4Pogradeci25/10/25Kastrioti Krujë
Pogradeci
4–0Kastrioti Krujë23/02/25Pogradeci
Kastrioti Krujë
0–0Pogradeci09/11/24Pogradeci
Kastrioti Krujë
2–0Pogradeci24/08/24Kastrioti Krujë
Pogradeci
3–1Kastrioti Krujë12/02/12Kastrioti Krujë
Pogradeci
1–1Kastrioti Krujë12/09/11Pogradeci
Kastrioti Krujë
4–0Pogradeci| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 18 |
| 2 | Besa Kavajë | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 17 |
| 3 | Flamurtari | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 4 | Bylis | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | FK Kukesi | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 | Pogradeci | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 |  Besëlidhja Lezhë | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 8 | Kastrioti Krujë | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Korabi Peshkopi | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 |  Sopoti Librazhd | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 7 |
| 11 |  Burreli | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 12 | Oriku | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Team Insights
Kastrioti Krujë- ●Kastrioti Krujë have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Kastrioti Krujë failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Kastrioti Krujë failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●91% of Kastrioti Krujë's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●82% of Kastrioti Krujë's points have been earned at home.
Pogradeci- ●Pogradeci have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Pogradeci have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pogradeci have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Pogradeci have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Pogradeci have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Pogradeci's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
Kastrioti KrujëWHKorabi Peshkopi2–0
Korabi Peshkopi2–0LAFK Kukesi0–1
FK Kukesi0–1LHIliria Fushë-Krujë0–1
Iliria Fushë-Krujë0–1LABesëlidhja Lezhë1–4
Besëlidhja Lezhë1–4WHOriku2–0
Oriku2–0DASopoti Librazhd1–1
Sopoti Librazhd1–1–ABylis07/11
Bylis07/11–HBesa Kavajë22/11
Besa Kavajë22/11–HBurreli28/11
Burreli28/11PogradeciLABesa Kavajë2–3
Besa Kavajë2–3DHOriku0–0
Oriku0–0DABylis2–2
Bylis2–2DHSopoti Librazhd2–2
Sopoti Librazhd2–2WAKorabi Peshkopi2–0
Korabi Peshkopi2–0DHFlamurtari0–0
Flamurtari0–0–HBesëlidhja Lezhë07/11
Besëlidhja Lezhë07/11–ABurreli22/11
Burreli22/11–HIliria Fushë-Krujë28/11
Iliria Fushë-Krujë28/11Top Scorers
Kastrioti KrujëM. Beshiraj3 ⚽
D. Kapllani2 ⚽
E. Farruku1 ⚽
E. Hoxha1 ⚽
O. Kasmollari1 ⚽
R. Tepshi1 ⚽
PogradeciS. Kazeem5 ⚽
G. Chinwendu4 ⚽
M. Shanaj3 ⚽
G. Lleshaj3 ⚽
2 ⚽
U. Kambato2 ⚽
Cards Given
Kastrioti KrujëF. Hasa1 🟨
Pogradeci