Pogradeci vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë — 1st Division
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Pogradeci and Iliria Fushë-Krujë meet in the 1st Division 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Pogradeci have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 58% of games. Iliria Fushë-Krujë have won 60% of their 10 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.35 for Pogradeci and 0.97 for Iliria Fushë-Krujë. The models give Pogradeci a 48% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Iliria Fushë-Krujë win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pogradeci | Home | Away | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 67% | 67% | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 50% | 67% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 17% | 17% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 33% | 33% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Pogradeci | Home | Away | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 42% | 50% | 33% | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 17% | 33% | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 17% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 58% | 50% | 67% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pogradeci | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 67% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 20% |
| BTTS | 42% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pogradeci | Iliria Fushë-Krujë | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 78% |
| Draw 1st Half | 58% | 11% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 78% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 10 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 18 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 17 | |
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +4 | 15 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11 | |
| 10 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 7 | |
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 | |
| 12 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Pogradeci have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Pogradeci have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pogradeci have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Pogradeci have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Pogradeci have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Pogradeci's goals have been scored away.
- ●Iliria Fushë-Krujë have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Iliria Fushë-Krujë have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Iliria Fushë-Krujë have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Iliria Fushë-Krujë have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Iliria Fushë-Krujë have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.